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[BUSINESS] · United States, Mexico · 36 sources

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U.S. labor market weakens as July jobs fall by 23,000

The U.S. labor market showed significant signs of cooling in July, with nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly contracting by 23,000 jobs. This result fell far short of the 80,000 to 83,000 gains anticipated by economists. Furthermore, substantial downward revisions were applied to May and June, which together saw 103,000 fewer jobs added than previously reported.

While the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1% from 4.2%, this decline was attributed to a shrinking labor force rather than robust hiring. The civilian labor force fell by 264,000, and the labor force participation rate dropped to 61.4%. Employment losses were notably concentrated in local government education, which saw a decline of nearly 50,000 jobs, as well as in retail and leisure sectors.

In Mexico, the Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social (IMSS) reported a loss of 19,550 formal jobs in July, a 0.1% monthly decrease. The decline was attributed to seasonal factors such as the end of the school year and agricultural cycles. Despite this monthly dip, Mexico's total formal employment for the first seven months of 2026 reached 243,078 new positions, and average daily wages reached a record high of 673.9 pesos.

The weak U.S. data has shifted market expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy, with investors scaling back bets on potential interest rate hikes as the central bank faces a more complex economic outlook.

Entities

Bureau of Labor Statistics · Donald Trump · Federal Reserve · Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social · Kevin Warsh · Mary Daly · Mexico · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · United States · United States Bureau of Labor Statistics

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Sources

August 2026 Jobs Report Recap [blog.engage2excel.com]