USA favored over Belgium for World Cup Round of 16 as betting odds shift

FIFA overturned a red‑card suspension for United States forward Folarin Balogun, clearing him to play in the Round of 16 match against Belgium. The decision moved the betting market, with the United States now quoted at a 52 % probability of advancing versus Belgium’s 48 %.

Kalshi’s prediction market reflects the new odds, offering a payout of $0.48 for every $1 staked on a U.S. win and $0.52 for a Belgian win. New users can enter promo code **ALCOM15** to receive a $15 bonus after depositing and trading $15 on the platform. The match is scheduled for Monday at 8 p.m. EST at Lumen Field in Seattle.

Balogun’s availability is expected to increase scoring chances for the U.S. side, while the market remains tightly balanced, indicating a closely contested game.