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El Niño intensification expected to drive extreme global weather through 2027
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a high-certainty alert regarding the intensification of the El Niño phenomenon. Experts predict a nearly 100% probability that the event will persist until February 2027, with its peak intensity expected toward the end of 2026.
Driven by exceptionally warm sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific, the phenomenon is expected to reach a 'very strong' intensity. Ocean surface temperatures have already risen significantly, with some deep water regions recording anomalies of up to 8 degrees Celsius above the 30-year average.
The global implications are severe, with increased risks of extreme weather including floods, droughts, and intense heatwaves. The WMO warns that this event could deliver a massive blow to global economies, communities, and supply chains. Some projections suggest the combination of El Niño and global warming could make 2027 the hottest year on record. Additionally, the World Food Programme has noted that the phenomenon could place approximately 50 million people at risk of acute hunger.
Entities
Antonio Guterres · Celeste Saulo · Pacific Ocean · Panama Canal · United Nations · World Meteorological Organization
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 4 SOURCES] Sea surface temperatures in some areas of the Pacific have exceeded the average by more than 8 degrees Celsius. caaguazunoticiasdigital.com.py · informacionregional.com.ar
- [● 6 SOURCES] UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned that the planet is in uncharted waters due to warming oceans. elsolnewsmedia.com
- [● 10 SOURCES] The El Niño phenomenon is firmly established and is expected to intensify into a very strong event in the coming months. informacionregional.com.ar · caaguazunoticiasdigital.com.py · elsolnewsmedia.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Indonesia is currently battling wildfires that have burned over 107,000 hectares this dry season.
- [● 19 SOURCES] The phenomenon increases the risk of extreme weather events, including floods, droughts, and extreme heat. informacionregional.com.ar · elsolnewsmedia.com · caaguazunoticiasdigital.com.py · www.globaldiasporanews.com · agron.com.br · +3 more
- [● 24 SOURCES] The current El Niño episode could be the strongest observed in over 70 years, potentially surpassing all records since 1950. elsolnewsmedia.com · agron.com.br · www.carlospazvivo.com · caaguazunoticiasdigital.com.py · informacionregional.com.ar · +6 more
- [● 33 SOURCES] There is a near 100% probability that the El Niño phenomenon will persist until at least February 2027. informacionregional.com.ar · caaguazunoticiasdigital.com.py · elsolnewsmedia.com · www.globaldiasporanews.com · agron.com.br · +14 more
- [● 4 SOURCES] The Panama Canal has reduced vessel traffic by more than 10 percent due to expected lower rainfall. elsolnewsmedia.com · elsigloweb.com
- [● 5 SOURCES] The phenomenon is causing increased fire risks in Indonesia and Australia and flooding in South America. www.carlospazvivo.com · www.globaldiasporanews.com
- [● 27 SOURCES] The United Nations warns that the El Niño phenomenon is intensifying. caaguazunoticiasdigital.com.py · elsolnewsmedia.com · informacionregional.com.ar · eltiempomx.com · baotintuc.vn · +8 more
- [● 9 SOURCES] Ocean temperatures in the center of the phenomenon are 2.6 degrees Celsius above the 30-year average. informacionregional.com.ar · diariondi.com · baotintuc.vn · www.habereguven.com · n1info.rs · +1 more
- [● 27 SOURCES] The event could last until at least February 2027. baotintuc.vn · caaguazunoticiasdigital.com.py · elsolnewsmedia.com · informacionregional.com.ar · iriefm.net · +16 more