El Niño expected to intensify into very strong event through early 2027

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

• [● 2 SOURCES] ECMWF projections indicate sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific (Niño 1+2) will reach 5.64 °C above average by early October 2026. www.tempo.pt · www.argentinaforestal.com
• [● 6 SOURCES] The 2026 El Niño event is heading toward a category of historical intensity. www.argentinaforestal.com · www.tempo.pt · www.tcsahora.com · www.meteo-paris.com
• [● 2 SOURCES] A record burst of westerly winds is expected in the central equatorial Pacific in early September 2026. www.tempo.pt · www.argentinaforestal.com
• [● 3 SOURCES] Sea surface temperatures in the central Pacific (Niño 3.4) are projected to be 3.55 °C above average by early October 2026. www.tempo.pt · www.argentinaforestal.com · www.meteo-paris.com
• [● 4 SOURCES] The probability for a ‘very strong’ El Niño in the winter 2026/27 is over 90 percent. www.cleanthinking.de · www.tcsahora.com
• [● 2 SOURCES] The Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) is expected to rise to a median of plus 2.66 degrees between October and December. www.cleanthinking.de
• [● 5 SOURCES] Research published in Science indicates that climate change has made El Niño events 40% stronger over the last 40 years compared to the pre-industrial period. www.lebardegandi.net · slo-tech.com
• [○ 1 SOURCE] El Niño tends to push the Pacific jet stream southward, steering more storms toward the southern United States. americanbazaaronline.com
• [○ 1 SOURCE] During El Niño, trade winds weaken, causing warm water to shift eastward into the central and eastern Pacific. americanbazaaronline.com
• [○ 1 SOURCE] Twelve separate billion-dollar climate disasters occurred in the first half of 2026. americanbazaaronline.com
• [○ 1 SOURCE] Meteorologists warned that El Niño would return to reshape global weather patterns in 2026. americanbazaaronline.com
• [● 2 SOURCES] The average daily global sea surface temperature reached a new historical maximum on August 22, at 21.1°C. www.meteorologiaenred.com