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El Niño (2026‑27 event)

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2026‑27 Super El Niño intensifies, worldwide risks grow

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Latest: 2026 Super El Niño and Geopolitical Tensions Threaten Global Food Harvest

NOAA now puts the chance of a very strong 2026‑27 El Niño at 81‑97 % for Oct‑Dec 2026, and recent model runs raise the probability that the event will become the strongest in the past 150 years to about 90 %. Sea‑surface