College football preseason ranking debates

Debates regarding the accuracy and utility of college football preseason rankings have intensified due to the impact of the transfer portal and Name, Image, and Likeness (NIL) era. Critics, including ESPN’s Scott Van Pelt, have argued that preseason rankings essentially involve “selling stories and people and programs” because massive roster turnover makes it difficult to predict performance once new players are installed.

As the preseason progresses, specific criticisms have emerged from coaching staff. SMU head coach Rhett Lashlee characterized the lists as arbitrary, noting they rely on spring games and roster makeup rather than on-field data or strength of schedule. Conversely, analysts like Bill Connelly have defended projection models, such as SP+, which utilize recruiting rankings and returning production to forecast regular-season records.

Recent polls have also highlighted shifts in program standing. The AP preseason poll showed Texas at No. 5 with a lack of first-place votes, while Alabama was ranked No. 13, marking its lowest preseason position since 2008 during its transition under head coach Kalen DeBoer.