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Colombia economy 2025‑2026: growth, inflation, retail

Updated 2 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-08-03 12:56 UTC → 2026-08-03 22:16 UTC · added removed

In June 2026 saw the corporate sector dominate the economy, accounted for virtually all national output, with the top 100 firms accounting for roughly 99.9 % of national output and posting a 13 % profit rise. The central bank responded to persistent price pressures by lifting lifted the benchmark rate to 12 % on 30 June, a move criticised by President Gustavo Petro as a risk to warned could hurt jobs and debt servicing. Data released on 4 July highlighted the geographic concentration of GDP in 2025: six departments, led by Bogotá (25 % of output), generated two‑thirds of national production. Inflation accelerated to 6.14 % in June 2026, June, driven by food and housing‑utility costs, while the CPI for May had already CPI hovered near 5.8 %. Despite higher rates, the economy kept expanding. Huila’s GDP grew 2.7 remains geographically concentrated: six departments, led by Bogotá (25 % in the first half of 2026, slightly above output), generated two‑thirds of production in 2025. Huila’s growth outpaced the national 2.6 pace (2.7 % pace, supported by vs 2.6 %) on the back of agriculture, commerce and a modest construction rebound. However, manufacturers Manufacturing showed continued to feel cost pressures; the May manufacturing survey recorded pressure, with a 0.4 % drop in industrial production and a 0.8 % fall in sales, with sales in May, and employment down 1 %. The banking sector posted recorded a 71 % profit surge in 2025, while though a new wealth tax trimmed earnings for some banks. Foreign direct investment slipped 12 % in the first half of 2026, even as the while oil and mining segment remained the main recipient of inflows. recipients. A 50‑billion‑peso senior‑housing project was announced to tap serve the growing “silver economy”. Retail sales rebounded strongly in May, up 11.7 % YoY, led by vehicles and electronics, yet the Banco de Bogotá warned that even as overall GDP growth is moderating expected to moderate to about 2.4 % for 2026. Bogotá’s own economy outpaced the nation, posting 3.5 % GDP growth in 2025, 2025. May 2026 saw GDP expand 4.1 % YoY, surpassing forecasts, driven by construction a 5.4 % rise in services and services. a 10.5 % jump in public administration, health, education and entertainment. Primary activities grew only 0.7 % and secondary activities 0.5 %. On 3 August the central bank kept the policy rate at 12 % and launched a $400 million reserve purchase, prompting the peso to appreciate by about 81 pesos.

Versions

  1. 2026-08-03 22:16 UTC Colombia economy 2025‑2026: growth, inflation, retail
  2. 2026-08-03 12:56 UTC Colombia economy 2025‑2026: growth, inflation, retail
  3. 2026-07-26 02:10 UTC Colombia economy 2025‑2026: growth, inflation, retail

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