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Catalonia polls: Aliança surges, Junts intensifies battle

Updated 7 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-08-15 14:14 UTC → 2026-09-12 10:09 UTC · added removed

The political landscape in Catalonia is undergoing a significant realignment. The Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC) remains the largest force, projected though recent Sigma Dos polling suggests its seat count could drop to win 34–38 seats, while between 31 and 33. Aliança Catalana (AC) is surging. Led (AC), led by Sílvia Orriols, AC is projected by experiencing a massive surge. Projections indicate the Centro de Estudios de Opinión (CEO) to party could expand from two seats its 2024 result of 3.8% to over 20, a 16.7% vote share, potentially becoming securing between 25 and 28 seats. This growth would position AC as the second-largest party and force in the Parliament, overtaking Junts per Catalunya. This growth expansion is fueled by a migration of voters, with approximately 28% of Junts voters and 23% of Vox voters expected to shift to AC. The party’s While AC’s influence was initially rooted in Girona and Lleida, it is now spreading to Barcelona and Tarragona. AC’s platform combines identity-based nationalism with anti-immigration rhetoric with and criticism of traditional pro-independence parties for the perceived failure of the 2017 independence process. While initially rooted in Girona and Lleida, AC’s influence is spreading to Barcelona and Tarragona. In response to AC’s rise, shared nativist discourse, Vox leadership has dismissed comparisons to AC as “forced and out of context,” maintaining its focus on national sovereignty and border control. Junts leaders have intensified their political confrontation with the party, AC, focusing on immigration ahead of municipal elections. Salvador Vergés, a rising figure in Junts, has called for direct confrontation with AC. Amidst the migration crisis in Ceuta, Junts members are demanding the transfer of border competencies and seeking to exclude Catalonia from the distribution of minors. Vergés has proposed that access to certain social benefits, such as housing assistance, should be conditional on a newcomer’s demonstrated ability to integrate into Catalan society, though he maintains while maintaining that basic rights like healthcare must remain guaranteed. Meanwhile, the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) has launched Esquerra Democràtica to create a centrist, liberal-socialist space, as Junts continues to face a projected loss of over 40% of its electorate. space.

Versions

  1. 2026-09-12 10:09 UTC Catalonia polls: Aliança surges, Junts intensifies battle
  2. 2026-08-15 14:14 UTC Catalonia polls: Aliança surges, Junts intensifies battle
  3. 2026-08-15 04:34 UTC Catalonia polls: Aliança surges, PSC leads, Junts declines
  4. 2026-08-12 09:07 UTC Catalonia polls: Aliança surges, PSC leads, Junts declines
  5. 2026-08-01 03:54 UTC Catalonia polls: Aliança gains, PSC leads
  6. 2026-07-27 11:47 UTC Catalonia fiscal push; Aliança climbs, PSC falls
  7. 2026-07-27 08:43 UTC Catalonia fiscal push; Aliança climbs, PSC falls
  8. 2026-07-27 06:28 UTC Catalonia fiscal push; Aliança climbs, PSC falls

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