[REVISION HISTORY]

Global natural rubber market price fluctuations

Updated 6 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-10-24 02:26 UTC → 2026-10-27 23:34 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Global rubber markets, which had previously maintained an upward trend due to tightening supply, experienced a shift toward mixed or downward trends by mid-September 2026. In late August and early September 2026, prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) and Singapore Exchange (SGX) saw ~~increases, with the SHFE September contract rising 1.68% on August 25 and 2.12% on September 7.~~ increases. During this period, the ~~SGX September TSR20 contract rose 2.02% on August 25, followed by a 3.31% increase for the October contract on September 7. The~~ Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC) noted that July 2026 global production was estimated at 1.321 million tons, a 5.15% decrease from the previous year. By mid-September 2026, prices began to decline. ~~On September 15, SHFE September contracts fell approximately 0.89% to 18,400 NDT/ton, and SGX TSR20 contracts for October and November declined by roughly 0.70% and 0.66%, respectively.~~ Volatility increased on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) on September 19, where September contracts fell 11.09% while October contracts rose 0.09%. ~~By late October 2026, downward~~ Downward pressure ~~continued.~~ continued through mid-to-late October 2026. On October 15, SHFE prices fell between 2.84% and 3.16%, and SGX TSR20 contracts dropped by 2.89% to 3.11%. ~~On October 24,~~ While TOCOM showed mixed ~~results as~~ results—with the October RSS3 contract ~~rose 5.70%, while SHFE~~ rising 5.70% on October 24—SHFE and SGX prices continued to face declines. By October 26, SHFE contracts saw further decreases of approximately 1% to 1.26%, and SGX TSR20 contracts also recorded declines. Throughout these fluctuations, domestic procurement prices in Vietnam at major enterprises like Phu Rieng, Mang Yang, Binh Long, and ~~export prices in Thailand~~ Ba Ria Rubber remained relatively stable. Analysts suggest future trends will be influenced by Southeast Asian seasonal supply, Chinese demand and inventory levels, and tire manufacturing demand.

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