[REVISION HISTORY]

Mexico 2026 economic trends – September Update

Updated 18 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-09-10 13:02 UTC → 2026-09-12 16:17 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Following the downward pressure seen in early September, the Mexican peso has regained strength, maintaining an exchange rate below the 17.00 per US dollar threshold. By September 4, the currency fluctuated between 16.88 and 16.95 pesos per dollar, marking some of its strongest levels since May 2024. This appreciation is supported by positive domestic macroeconomic data, including a 5.9 percent year-on-year increase in gross fixed investment reported by INEGI. Additionally, a weakening US dollar, influenced by US labor market reports and anticipation of Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, has bolstered the peso. As of September 7, the exchange rate remained steady near 16.91 pesos per dollar, reflecting a weekly gain of approximately 0.56 percent. By September 10, the USD/MXN exchange rate was recorded at 16.9407 pesos, a 0.30 percent increase from the previous close. Official Banxico references placed the FIX rate near 16.9202 pesos. While the dollar has seen a weekly gain of 0.11 percent, it has experienced a decline of approximately 8.91 percent over the past year. During the second week of September, the peso experienced further fluctuations. On September 11, the currency showed appreciation, trading at approximately 16.93 units per dollar, despite a weekly depreciation of nearly 0.3 percent. Market volatility ~~continues to be~~ was driven by ~~rising~~ US consumer inflation ~~expectations and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East involving the US and Iran,~~ data for August, which ~~have pushed oil prices higher. While some analysts anticipate the peso could depreciate toward 17.50 by the end~~ showed a monthly increase of ~~2026, the current trend has been described by some as the return~~ 0.4 percent and an annual rate of 3.4 percent. These figures have reinforced market expectations regarding the ~~‘super peso’.~~ Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decisions scheduled for September 15 and 16. Throughout that week, the interbank exchange rate moved between 16.85 and 17.00 pesos per dollar.

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