[REVISION HISTORY]

Pará gubernatorial and Senate elections

Updated 8 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-09-29 03:02 UTC → 2026-09-29 12:46 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Polling data for the 2026 elections in Pará continues to show a competitive landscape for the governorship and the Senate. In the gubernatorial race, Hana Ghassan (MDB) maintains her lead. Recent reports from RealTime Big Data and Inteligov/EXAME indicate that Ghassan’s share of valid votes fluctuates between 33% and 52% depending on the methodology used. New data from Real Time Big Data shows Ghassan holding 44% of intended votes in a stimulated scenario, while Daniel Santos (Podemos) follows with 37%. When considering only valid votes, Ghassan’s lead increases to ~~52%. Latest Real Time Big Data results refine this margin, showing Ghassan with 44% of intended votes and Daniel Santos with 37%. In~~ 52%, a ~~scenario considering only valid votes, Ghassan’s lead expands to 52% against Santos’ 44%.~~ margin that potentially secures a first-round victory. Regarding the Senate race, former governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) previously led with 25% of intended votes. A Quaest poll confirms Barbalho leading with 25%. Recent Real Time Big Data results indicate Barbalho holds a 10-point lead with 25% of the vote. The contest for the state’s second Senate seat remains a focal point, with candidates Éder Mauro (PL), Chicão (União), and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) previously described as being in a technical tie.

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