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Polish public opinion and rising hybrid warfare threats

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2026-09-09 08:27 UTC → 2026-09-11 17:17 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Polish public opinion ~~on security~~ and ~~migration~~ rising hybrid warfare threats

Public sentiment in Poland reflects growing concerns regarding national security and deep political polarization. Recent polling indicates that 66.5% of respondents believe increasing migration from regions including Ukraine, Belarus, Asia, and the Middle East impacts national security. This view is most pronounced among Konfederacja voters, reaching 96%. While 50.6% of the public believes institutions respond appropriately to aggression against Ukrainian citizens, views are split by political affiliation; 63% of ruling party supporters view the institutional response positively, whereas 51% of opposition voters hold a negative view. Further polling shows widespread skepticism regarding defense capabilities, with 63.2% of respondents doubting the readiness of the Polish military and security services to respond to border threats or direct attacks. This doubt is heavily influenced by political lines, as 82% of opposition voters view the military as not fully prepared, compared to 50% of ruling camp supporters. New data highlights specific disagreements regarding military aid. A Pollster Institute study shows 58% of respondents oppose transferring additional Patriot missile systems to Ukraine, citing concerns over Poland’s own air defense capabilities following a recent incident where a Russian missile entered Polish airspace. In response to regional tensions, NATO has increased military activity in Polish airspace. Amidst these tensions, 77.8% of Polish respondents believe the country should provide assistance to Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia in the event of a Russian attack, a sentiment supported by 83% of ruling coalition voters. Additionally, reports indicate Poland has become a primary target for Russian hybrid warfare, including cyberattacks and acts of sabotage, such as the May 2024 warehouse fire in Warsaw and a November 2025 attempt to sabotage strategic railway tracks. Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz has warned of escalating Russian aggression, specifically citing hybrid attacks, sabotage, airspace violations, and GPS interference.

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