Russian military strategy regarding Ukraine infrastructure

Reports indicate that General Sergei Surovikin may be reinstated to assist in planning strikes against Ukraine. Analysts suggest his involvement could bring tactics similar to those used in the Syrian campaign, specifically involving heavy aerial bombardment of residential areas, schools, and hospitals.

Potential targets include critical infrastructure in Kyiv, such as the bridges crossing the Dnipro River, which are vital for road and rail transport. Beyond Kyiv, there are indications that a broader strategy may involve targeting electricity, heating, sewage, and water supplies in major urban centers including Odesa, Kharkiv, Kryvyi Rih, Zaporizhzhia, and Lviv.

The objective of such operations would be to disrupt essential services and create large-scale crises to undermine Ukraine’s economy and administrative functions. While some experts suggest that widespread societal collapse may be difficult due to existing civilian preparations like backup power, there are warnings that Russia may attempt to sustain these disruptions over several years to reach a breaking point.