[REVISION HISTORY]

Turkish agricultural trends, harvests, and export shifts

Updated 19 times since CLSTR started tracking revisions of this situation.

What changed

2026-10-10 10:45 UTC → 2026-10-11 11:28 UTC · added ~~removed~~

Turkish agricultural sectors continue to navigate a complex landscape of seasonal harvests, economic pressures, and shifting production forecasts. While the Turkish Grain Board (TMO) has commenced hazelnut purchases for the 2026-2027 season, ~~other sectors face significant volatility.~~ the olive oil sector remains in a state of severe economic crisis. Export data reveals a sharp ~~downturn in the olive oil sector;~~ downturn; according to the Aegean Olive Oil Exporters' Association, export volumes fell by 62% between November 1, 2025, and August 31, 2026, with total revenue dropping from $231.6 million in the 2024/2025 season to $96 million in the 2025/2026 season. ~~Despite high-yield projections in regions~~ In major production hubs like ~~Ayvalık~~ Aydın and ~~Antalya, olive producers are facing a severe economic crisis due~~ Manisa, high-yield harvests have not translated to ~~the gap between production costs and market prices.~~ profitability. In Aydın’s Karacasu district, ~~producers report that while olives sell for~~ market prices reach 300-350 lira per ~~kilogram in markets,~~ kilogram, yet farm-gate purchase prices ~~are only~~ remain as low as 15-25 lira. In Manisa, ~~prices for certain varieties have dropped to 17-18 lira, while~~ oil ~~olives~~ olive prices have fallen ~~as low as 10 lira. With harvesting labor costs reaching up~~ to 20 10 lira per kilogram, which is significantly below the 15-20 lira required for harvesting labor. This has led some farmers ~~argue it is more profitable~~ to ~~leave~~ consider leaving fruit on ~~the~~ trees rather than ~~harvest~~ harvesting it. In the Soma district of Manisa, the crisis has extended to seasonal workers, including retirees and low-income individuals, who report difficulty receiving daily wages. Producer Ertuğrul Özcan noted that wholesale olive oil prices have dropped from the 300–350 TL range last year to 200–250 TL this year, questioning why these lower producer prices are not reflected in supermarket retail costs. Local officials warn that ~~if these prices persist, the financial~~ this instability ~~will prevent~~ threatens long-term production capacity by preventing farmers from purchasing ~~necessary~~ supplies for ~~the next season, threatening long-term production capacity. This mirrors concerns in the South Marmara region, where rising costs have already made profitability difficult.~~ future seasons.

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