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13 clusters · 53 sources · 40 days · First seen · Last updated
Bitcoin volatility persists amid macro shifts and liquidity
Overview
Bitcoin volatility has intensified following hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data. In August, the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3%, exceeding forecasts, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) reached 5.4% year-over-year. These indicators have shifted market expectations, with the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 meeting rising to 90%.
This macroeconomic pressure triggered widespread liquidations, totaling over $387 million in crypto positions, including $13.40 million in XRP long positions. While U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF investors face approximately $3.9 billion in aggregate paper losses, Glassnode reports a decrease in Bitcoin’s sell-side risk ratio, which fell from 16 to 7 in September, suggesting a potential shift in market dynamics.
On-chain supply and holder behavior continue to influence risk. Binance’s Bitcoin reserves reached 691,658 BTC on September 2, the highest level since November 2024. Additionally, short-term holder (STH) whales have accumulated over $9 billion in unrealized profits. With an average cost of approximately $69,000, these speculative holders remain highly sensitive to price swings.
Despite these pressures, Bitcoin maintains a unique relationship with traditional assets. Analysis shows Bitcoin is demonstrating lower sensitivity to U.S. Treasury yields compared to gold, with a 90-day correlation of -0.17 versus gold’s -0.41. While both assets maintain a positive correlation of 0.59—the highest since 2020—Bitcoin’s digital scarcity narrative appears to be insulating it from the direct pressures of rising interest rates.
Entities
Bitcoin · Bitcoin · Federal Reserve · S&P 500 · Bank of America
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
Coverage disagrees
Sources make claims that cannot both be true. CLSTR reports the disagreement; it does not decide who is right.
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"Markets assign a probability of approximately 60% to a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September." www.crypto-insiders.nl · www.cryptobreaking.com · cryptonomist.ch · decrypt.co
vs
"The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in the September 15–16 meeting rose to 90% from 70%." bitcoinethereumnews.com
These claims provide different probabilities (60% vs 90%) for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September.
- [DISPUTED] Markets assign a probability of approximately 60% to a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. www.crypto-insiders.nl · www.cryptobreaking.com · cryptonomist.ch · decrypt.co
- [DISPUTED] The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in the September 15–16 meeting rose to 90% from 70%. bitcoinethereumnews.com
- [● 12 SOURCES] Bitcoin is projected to achieve its strongest August performance since 2017, with a monthly increase of approximately 24%. blockchainseoul.kr · www.tokenpost.kr · newsbit.nl · bitcoinethereumnews.com · www.criptotendencias.com · +6 more
- [● 7 SOURCES] Bitcoin is trading near the $78,000 to $78,700 range. blockchainseoul.kr · newsbit.nl · www.crypto-insiders.nl · www.criptotendencias.com · cryptonomist.ch · +2 more
- [● 3 SOURCES] Approximately $6.55 billion in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated during August. newsbit.nl · bitcoinethereumnews.com · u.today
- [● 3 SOURCES] U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.92 billion in inflows, marking the largest weekly accumulation since October 2025. newsbit.nl · bitcoinethereumnews.com · u.today
- [● 2 SOURCES] A model of prediction CryptoSlate projects a price of Bitcoin median of $81,319 for Sep. 29. www.criptotendencias.com · cryptoslate.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Bitcoin’s 90-day rolling correlation with gold has risen above 50%, while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has fallen to roughly 33%. www.tekedia.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Binance recorded $12.3 billion in inflows over a seven-day period. www.tokenpost.kr
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Analyst LP suggests Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high in the fourth quarter of 2027. www.blockmedia.co.kr
- [○ 1 SOURCE] 82,287 traders experienced $387.18 million in liquidations over a 24-hour period. bitcoinethereumnews.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The U.S. Core Consumer Price Index rose by 0.3% in August, exceeding the 0.2% forecast. bitcoinethereumnews.com
Timeline
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1 day ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesCryptocurrency markets face volatility amid rising U.S. inflation dataU.S. inflation data has triggered high volatility in crypto markets, leading to over $387 million in liquidations and raising the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike to 90%.
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3 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesBitcoin faces volatility risks amid rising exchange reserves and shifting yield correlationsBitcoin faces potential volatility as short-term whales hold record unrealized profits and exchange reserves rise, even as data shows the asset is becoming less sensitive to US Treasury yields than gold.
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3 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesBitcoin volatility decreases as long-term holders increase supplyBitcoin volatility is stabilizing as long-term holders increase their supply, with over 71% of circulating Bitcoin currently in a profitable position, potentially providing a floor during market corrections.
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5 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. Treasury yields could reach 6% and impact BitcoinStrategist Rick Bensignor predicts U.S. 10-year Treasury yields could reach 6.07%, potentially pressuring Bitcoin as capital shifts toward higher-yielding, safer assets.
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9 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesBitcoin experiences price volatility amid macro shifts and privacy concernsBitcoin has fluctuated near $80,000 amid macroeconomic shifts and Fed policy uncertainty. Meanwhile, a Pocket Bit data breach has raised concerns regarding the privacy of cryptocurrency users.
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10 days ago
[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesBitcoin market faces cooling demand and lower volatilityBitcoin is experiencing cooling demand and lower volatility as macroeconomic pressures and US interest rate expectations shift investor focus toward the US dollar.
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11 days ago
[BUSINESS] 12 sourcesBitcoin and S&P 500 face market volatility amid Fed policy shiftsBitcoin surged 25% in August driven by ETF inflows but faces resistance near $80,000 due to Fed interest rate uncertainty. Meanwhile, Bank of America maintains caution on the S&P 500.
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13 days ago
[BUSINESS] 16 sourcesBitcoin surges 24% in August, marking strongest monthly performance since 2017Bitcoin surged approximately 24% in August, its strongest August since 2017, driven by ETF inflows, short liquidations, and increasing correlation with gold as a potential store of value.
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18 days ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesBitcoin and bond yields drive volatility in crypto and equity marketsBitcoin saw its best weekly performance since March 2023, while rising global bond yields pose a growing risk to the stability of the stock market.
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24 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesBitcoin volatility reaches historic lows amid rising US bond yieldsFundstrat analysts report that Bitcoin's historic low volatility could precede a 30% price move within two months, as investors monitor rising US Treasury yields and global bond market shifts.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesFinancial markets show divergence as Bitcoin volatility hits 2026 lowBitcoin volatility has hit a 2026 low amid surging U.S. Treasury yields, signaling a potential major price move ahead as crypto and bond markets diverge.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesBitcoin market hits 2026 low on volume, analysts spot potential buying chanceBitcoin volume fell to a 2026 low as price dropped 26% YTD; analyst Michael van de Poppe sees buying opportunity, likening it to the 2022 rebound. Bitcoin rose 1.1% to €56,374, helped by positive U.S. jobs data
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 6 sourcesBitcoin poised for rally as analysts cite August market factorsBitcoin hovered near $63,500 in August, with analysts like Tom Lee forecasting a potential rally, while a Coldcard wallet flaw exposed thousands of addresses but did not derail price gains.
Sources
ad-hoc-news.de · bitcoinbazis.hu · bitcoinethereumnews.com · bitcoinsistemi.com · bitfinanzas.com · blockcast.it · blockchain-hero.com · blockchainseoul.kr · blockmedia.co.kr · blocktempo.com · cnbce.com · coincu.com · coinedition.com · coinkurier.de · criptotendencias.com · crypto-insiders.nl · crypto.news · cryptobreaking.com · cryptonomist.ch · cryptopolitan.com · cryptoslate.com · decrypt.co · detlionblood32.wordpress.com · deutscherpresseindex.de · diken.com.tr · ekoturk.com · en.bitcoinsistemi.com · explosiveoptions.net · it-boltwise.de · keyt.com · koinbulteni.com · krdo.com · kriptoworld.hu · lagacetasalta.com.ar · livecoins.com.br · localnews8.com · mendozatoday.com.ar · merca2.es · mineriaenlinea.com · mzee.com · newsable.asianetnews.com · newsbit.nl · nosmokesport.com · noticiasdemalaga.es · notiulti.com · politicargentina.com · portaldobitcoin.uol.com.br · sondakika.com
This summary has been updated 16 times: see revision history