< Back to situations

Monitor this situation.

[SITUATION] · [ACTIVE] · [BUSINESS]

13 clusters · 53 sources · 40 days · First seen · Last updated

Bitcoin volatility persists amid macro shifts and liquidity

Overview

Bitcoin volatility has intensified following hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data. In August, the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3%, exceeding forecasts, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) reached 5.4% year-over-year. These indicators have shifted market expectations, with the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 meeting rising to 90%.

This macroeconomic pressure triggered widespread liquidations, totaling over $387 million in crypto positions, including $13.40 million in XRP long positions. While U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF investors face approximately $3.9 billion in aggregate paper losses, Glassnode reports a decrease in Bitcoin’s sell-side risk ratio, which fell from 16 to 7 in September, suggesting a potential shift in market dynamics.

On-chain supply and holder behavior continue to influence risk. Binance’s Bitcoin reserves reached 691,658 BTC on September 2, the highest level since November 2024. Additionally, short-term holder (STH) whales have accumulated over $9 billion in unrealized profits. With an average cost of approximately $69,000, these speculative holders remain highly sensitive to price swings.

Despite these pressures, Bitcoin maintains a unique relationship with traditional assets. Analysis shows Bitcoin is demonstrating lower sensitivity to U.S. Treasury yields compared to gold, with a 90-day correlation of -0.17 versus gold’s -0.41. While both assets maintain a positive correlation of 0.59—the highest since 2020—Bitcoin’s digital scarcity narrative appears to be insulating it from the direct pressures of rising interest rates.

Entities

Bitcoin · Bitcoin · Federal Reserve · S&P 500 · Bank of America

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

Coverage disagrees

Sources make claims that cannot both be true. CLSTR reports the disagreement; it does not decide who is right.

Timeline

  1. 1 day ago

    [BUSINESS] 4 sources
    Cryptocurrency markets face volatility amid rising U.S. inflation data

    U.S. inflation data has triggered high volatility in crypto markets, leading to over $387 million in liquidations and raising the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike to 90%.

  2. 3 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 3 sources
    Bitcoin faces volatility risks amid rising exchange reserves and shifting yield correlations

    Bitcoin faces potential volatility as short-term whales hold record unrealized profits and exchange reserves rise, even as data shows the asset is becoming less sensitive to US Treasury yields than gold.

  3. 3 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Bitcoin volatility decreases as long-term holders increase supply

    Bitcoin volatility is stabilizing as long-term holders increase their supply, with over 71% of circulating Bitcoin currently in a profitable position, potentially providing a floor during market corrections.

  4. 5 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    U.S. Treasury yields could reach 6% and impact Bitcoin

    Strategist Rick Bensignor predicts U.S. 10-year Treasury yields could reach 6.07%, potentially pressuring Bitcoin as capital shifts toward higher-yielding, safer assets.

  5. 9 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Bitcoin experiences price volatility amid macro shifts and privacy concerns

    Bitcoin has fluctuated near $80,000 amid macroeconomic shifts and Fed policy uncertainty. Meanwhile, a Pocket Bit data breach has raised concerns regarding the privacy of cryptocurrency users.

  6. 10 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 5 sources
    Bitcoin market faces cooling demand and lower volatility

    Bitcoin is experiencing cooling demand and lower volatility as macroeconomic pressures and US interest rate expectations shift investor focus toward the US dollar.

  7. 11 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 12 sources
    Bitcoin and S&P 500 face market volatility amid Fed policy shifts

    Bitcoin surged 25% in August driven by ETF inflows but faces resistance near $80,000 due to Fed interest rate uncertainty. Meanwhile, Bank of America maintains caution on the S&P 500.

  8. 13 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 16 sources
    Bitcoin surges 24% in August, marking strongest monthly performance since 2017

    Bitcoin surged approximately 24% in August, its strongest August since 2017, driven by ETF inflows, short liquidations, and increasing correlation with gold as a potential store of value.

  9. 18 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 4 sources
    Bitcoin and bond yields drive volatility in crypto and equity markets

    Bitcoin saw its best weekly performance since March 2023, while rising global bond yields pose a growing risk to the stability of the stock market.

  10. 24 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 3 sources
    Bitcoin volatility reaches historic lows amid rising US bond yields

    Fundstrat analysts report that Bitcoin's historic low volatility could precede a 30% price move within two months, as investors monitor rising US Treasury yields and global bond market shifts.

  11. about 1 month ago

    [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Financial markets show divergence as Bitcoin volatility hits 2026 low

    Bitcoin volatility has hit a 2026 low amid surging U.S. Treasury yields, signaling a potential major price move ahead as crypto and bond markets diverge.

  12. about 1 month ago

    [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Bitcoin market hits 2026 low on volume, analysts spot potential buying chance

    Bitcoin volume fell to a 2026 low as price dropped 26% YTD; analyst Michael van de Poppe sees buying opportunity, likening it to the 2022 rebound. Bitcoin rose 1.1% to €56,374, helped by positive U.S. jobs data

  13. about 1 month ago

    [BUSINESS] 6 sources
    Bitcoin poised for rally as analysts cite August market factors

    Bitcoin hovered near $63,500 in August, with analysts like Tom Lee forecasting a potential rally, while a Coldcard wallet flaw exposed thousands of addresses but did not derail price gains.

Sources

ad-hoc-news.de · bitcoinbazis.hu · bitcoinethereumnews.com · bitcoinsistemi.com · bitfinanzas.com · blockcast.it · blockchain-hero.com · blockchainseoul.kr · blockmedia.co.kr · blocktempo.com · cnbce.com · coincu.com · coinedition.com · coinkurier.de · criptotendencias.com · crypto-insiders.nl · crypto.news · cryptobreaking.com · cryptonomist.ch · cryptopolitan.com · cryptoslate.com · decrypt.co · detlionblood32.wordpress.com · deutscherpresseindex.de · diken.com.tr · ekoturk.com · en.bitcoinsistemi.com · explosiveoptions.net · it-boltwise.de · keyt.com · koinbulteni.com · krdo.com · kriptoworld.hu · lagacetasalta.com.ar · livecoins.com.br · localnews8.com · mendozatoday.com.ar · merca2.es · mineriaenlinea.com · mzee.com · newsable.asianetnews.com · newsbit.nl · nosmokesport.com · noticiasdemalaga.es · notiulti.com · politicargentina.com · portaldobitcoin.uol.com.br · sondakika.com

This summary has been updated 16 times: see revision history