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13 clusters · 55 sources · 52 days · First seen · Last updated
Bitcoin volatility amid FOMC and rising global bond yields
Overview
Bitcoin volatility persists as the market anticipates the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and monitors the 2026 U.S. midterm election cycle. While historical data from 2014, 2018, and 2022 shows Bitcoin experienced declines exceeding 60% during midterm years, experts maintain these were often driven by specific events like the FTX bankruptcy rather than the elections themselves.
As of mid-September, Bitcoin continues to fluctuate around the $77,000 level. Analysts from Bloomberg suggest that recent declines in Bitcoin may serve as a “leading indicator for broader market trends,” prompting closer scrutiny of liquidity and regulatory developments.
Recent market activity shows divergent trends between institutional inflows and macroeconomic pressures. The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT) has recorded inflows in 11 of the last 20 trading days, totaling approximately $62.2 million, bringing its net assets to roughly $610.13 million. Conversely, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) recently reported three consecutive days of capital outflows totaling $63.22 million.
Macroeconomic factors continue to drive uncertainty. Rising yields on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds and expectations of sustained higher interest rates are exerting downward pressure on the cryptocurrency. This pressure has intensified as yields for U.S. Treasurys and UK gilts have risen to their highest levels in over a decade, reflecting a broad repricing of sovereign borrowing costs. While prediction markets indicate confidence in Bitcoin maintaining prices above $72,000 in the short term, the rising cost of capital creates significant headwinds for risk assets.
Entities
Bitcoin · Bitcoin · Federal Reserve · S&P 500 · Bank of America
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [DISPUTED] Markets assign a probability of approximately 60% to a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. www.crypto-insiders.nl · www.cryptobreaking.com · cryptonomist.ch · decrypt.co
- [● 12 SOURCES] Bitcoin is projected to achieve its strongest August performance since 2017, with a monthly increase of approximately 24%. blockchainseoul.kr · www.tokenpost.kr · newsbit.nl · bitcoinethereumnews.com · www.criptotendencias.com · +6 more
- [● 7 SOURCES] Bitcoin is trading near the $78,000 to $78,700 range. blockchainseoul.kr · newsbit.nl · www.crypto-insiders.nl · www.criptotendencias.com · cryptonomist.ch · +2 more
- [● 3 SOURCES] Approximately $6.55 billion in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated during August. newsbit.nl · bitcoinethereumnews.com · u.today
- [● 3 SOURCES] U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.92 billion in inflows, marking the largest weekly accumulation since October 2025. newsbit.nl · bitcoinethereumnews.com · u.today
- [● 2 SOURCES] A model of prediction CryptoSlate projects a price of Bitcoin median of $81,319 for Sep. 29. www.criptotendencias.com · cryptoslate.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Bitcoin’s 90-day rolling correlation with gold has risen above 50%, while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has fallen to roughly 33%. www.tekedia.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Binance recorded $12.3 billion in inflows over a seven-day period. www.tokenpost.kr
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Analyst LP suggests Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high in the fourth quarter of 2027. www.blockmedia.co.kr
Timeline
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about 15 hours ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesRising bond yields impact Bitcoin and global risk assetsRising global bond yields, including U.S. Treasurys and UK gilts, are reshaping financial markets and potentially impacting risk assets like Bitcoin as investors re-evaluate the cost of capital.
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15 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesBitcoin faces volatility risks amid rising exchange reserves and shifting yield correlationsBitcoin faces potential volatility as short-term whales hold record unrealized profits and exchange reserves rise, even as data shows the asset is becoming less sensitive to US Treasury yields than gold.
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15 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesBitcoin volatility decreases as long-term holders increase supplyBitcoin volatility is stabilizing as long-term holders increase their supply, with over 71% of circulating Bitcoin currently in a profitable position, potentially providing a floor during market corrections.
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17 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. Treasury yields could reach 6% and impact BitcoinStrategist Rick Bensignor predicts U.S. 10-year Treasury yields could reach 6.07%, potentially pressuring Bitcoin as capital shifts toward higher-yielding, safer assets.
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20 days ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesBitcoin experiences price volatility amid macro shifts and privacy concernsBitcoin has fluctuated near $80,000 amid macroeconomic shifts and Fed policy uncertainty. Meanwhile, a Pocket Bit data breach has raised concerns regarding the privacy of cryptocurrency users.
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22 days ago
[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesBitcoin market faces cooling demand and lower volatilityBitcoin is experiencing cooling demand and lower volatility as macroeconomic pressures and US interest rate expectations shift investor focus toward the US dollar.
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23 days ago
[BUSINESS] 12 sourcesBitcoin and S&P 500 face market volatility amid Fed policy shiftsBitcoin surged 25% in August driven by ETF inflows but faces resistance near $80,000 due to Fed interest rate uncertainty. Meanwhile, Bank of America maintains caution on the S&P 500.
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25 days ago
[BUSINESS] 16 sourcesBitcoin surges 24% in August, marking strongest monthly performance since 2017Bitcoin surged approximately 24% in August, its strongest August since 2017, driven by ETF inflows, short liquidations, and increasing correlation with gold as a potential store of value.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesBitcoin and bond yields drive volatility in crypto and equity marketsBitcoin saw its best weekly performance since March 2023, while rising global bond yields pose a growing risk to the stability of the stock market.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesBitcoin volatility reaches historic lows amid rising US bond yieldsFundstrat analysts report that Bitcoin's historic low volatility could precede a 30% price move within two months, as investors monitor rising US Treasury yields and global bond market shifts.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesFinancial markets show divergence as Bitcoin volatility hits 2026 lowBitcoin volatility has hit a 2026 low amid surging U.S. Treasury yields, signaling a potential major price move ahead as crypto and bond markets diverge.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesBitcoin market hits 2026 low on volume, analysts spot potential buying chanceBitcoin volume fell to a 2026 low as price dropped 26% YTD; analyst Michael van de Poppe sees buying opportunity, likening it to the 2022 rebound. Bitcoin rose 1.1% to €56,374, helped by positive U.S. jobs data
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 6 sourcesBitcoin poised for rally as analysts cite August market factorsBitcoin hovered near $63,500 in August, with analysts like Tom Lee forecasting a potential rally, while a Coldcard wallet flaw exposed thousands of addresses but did not derail price gains.
Sources
ad-hoc-news.de · asiatimes.com · bitcoinbazis.hu · bitcoinethereumnews.com · bitcoinsistemi.com · bitfinanzas.com · blockcast.it · blockchain-hero.com · blockchainseoul.kr · blockmedia.co.kr · blocktempo.com · cnbce.com · coincu.com · coinkurier.de · criptotendencias.com · crypto-insiders.nl · crypto.news · cryptobreaking.com · cryptobriefing.com · cryptonomist.ch · cryptopolitan.com · cryptoslate.com · decrypt.co · detlionblood32.wordpress.com · deutscherpresseindex.de · diken.com.tr · ekoturk.com · en.bitcoinsistemi.com · explosiveoptions.net · it-boltwise.de · keyt.com · koinbulteni.com · krdo.com · kriptoworld.hu · lagacetasalta.com.ar · livecoins.com.br · localnews8.com · mendozatoday.com.ar · merca2.es · mineriaenlinea.com · mzee.com · newsable.asianetnews.com · newsbit.nl · nosmokesport.com · noticiasdemalaga.es · notiulti.com · politicargentina.com · portaldobitcoin.uol.com.br
This summary has been updated 29 times: see revision history