Global avocado market shifts

In late July 2026 New Zealand’s avocado export volume fell 9 % after weather damage, and its traditional Australian market share dropped sharply. Export shipments to Asian economies rose markedly, driven by a new New Zealand‑India free‑trade agreement that will eliminate tariffs over the next decade.

The following day, U.S. holiday‑season sales surged, with record‑high purchases during the Big Game week and strong demand around Valentine’s Day and St. Patrick’s Day. At the same time, Australia’s avocado harvest rebounded, reaching a projected 170,000 tonnes and supporting a record export flow of 18,400 tonnes in 2025. Australian exporters continued to target Asian markets such as Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia, while also expanding into the Middle East.

New data show U.S. shoppers bought 80.3 million avocados during the Big Game week—a 10.7 % year‑on‑year rise—bringing first‑quarter sales to 215 million units and $204.3 million in retail revenue, with average prices slipping to $0.93 each. Australian supply remains strong, keeping retail prices near the historic $1 level.

Globally, South American exporters shipped more than one million metric tons in the 2025/26 season, led by Peru, which supplied over half of the volume, while Colombia posted a 16 % increase and Chile recorded its most productive cycle in 16 years. Analysts warn that El Niño, higher input costs and possible USMCA trade adjustments could threaten future yields.

Together, the snapshots illustrate a broader trend: mature markets (U.S., Australia, New Zealand) experience seasonal demand spikes and supply rebounds, while emerging Asian consumers drive export growth, and South America emerges as a dominant new source, reshaping global avocado trade patterns.