< Back to situations

Monitor this situation.

[SITUATION] · [QUIET] · [POLITICS]

4 clusters · 12 sources · 54 days · First seen · Last updated

Progress Party reaches 18-year high in Norwegian polls

Overview

In early July, Norway's right-wing Progress Party (FrP) emerged as the leader in national surveys. By August, an InFact poll confirmed FrP at 32% support, while the Conservatives slipped to 13.4% and Labour held 24.5%.

By early September, polling by Opinion for Altinget and ABC Nyheter showed the Conservative Party's support stagnating at 14.9%, with a notable decline among voters over 65 to 11.1%. Political scientist Johannes Bergh observed that FrP, at 31%, was successfully capturing policy territory from the Conservatives, particularly regarding climate and tax policy. During this time, Labour saw a slight increase to 22.8%.

By September 5, a Norfakta poll for Klassekampen and Nationen reported that the Progress Party reached 33.4% support, its highest level since 2008. This 4.5 percentage point increase from August coincided with the Conservative Party dropping to 13.2%, its lowest level since 2009. The gap between the two parties widened to 20.2 percentage points, with FrP gaining voters from both the Conservatives and the Labour Party. Analysts suggested these trends might indicate FrP is establishing itself as a major governing party on the center-right; a coalition of FrP and the Conservatives would currently secure the 85 seats required for a majority in the Stortinget.

Entities

Ine Eriksen Søreide · Sylvi Listhaug · Progress Party · Jonas Stein · Johannes Bergh

Timeline

  1. 29 days ago

    [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Høyre party support falls below 15 percent in new poll

    A recent poll shows Norway's Høyre party at 14.9 percent support, struggling to retain core voters and losing ground to the Progress Party (Frp), which leads with 31 percent.

  2. about 1 month ago

    [POLITICS] 6 sources
    Progress Party leads Conservative Party in Norwegian polls

    Norway's Progress Party remains twice as large as the Conservative Party in recent polls, as Ine Eriksen Søreide's leadership has yet to trigger a significant surge in voter support.

  3. about 2 months ago

    [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Progress Party leads Norway poll with 32% support

    A new InFact poll puts Norway's Progress Party at 32%, ahead of Labour (24.5%) and Conservatives (13.4%), suggesting a right‑wing majority of 92 seats to 77; Sylvi Listhaug calls it good, and analyst Jonas Ste​

  4. 3 months ago

    [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Norway polls: Progress Party leads national survey, SV tops student vote

    Norway’s latest national poll gives the Progress Party 28.4%, making it the largest party, while a student poll shows SV ahead with 16.7%.

Sources

altaposten.no · altinget.no · dagsavisen.no · document.dk · e24.no · fotball.smp.no · fvn.no · idag.no · plan.org.hk · rbnett.no · rights.no · vg.no

This summary has been updated 3 times: see revision history