< Back to situations

[ORGANIZATION]

Congressional Budget Office

Featured in 40 tracked stories · first seen

Situations

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [BR] [CN]

US mortgage rates and Treasury yields fluctuate

13 clusters · 81 sources · last updated

Latest: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields exceed 5%, surpassing CBO forecasts

U.S. mortgage rates and Treasury yields have experienced significant upward pressure through late July and early August 2026. In late July, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached 6.66%, a one-year high, as the 1

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [JP] [DE]

Global bond sell-off persists amid rising debt and yields

26 clusters · 179 sources · last updated

Latest: US economy faces debt servicing surge and corporate bond supply shortage

Global bond markets are experiencing heightened volatility as yields reach multi-year highs. In the United States, the 10-year Treasury yield has approached 5%, its highest level since 2007. Bob Michele, head of global f

[ACTIVE] [INTERNATIONAL] [US] [IR] [DE]

US missile shortages and strategic shifts amid Iran conflict

23 clusters · 648 sources · last updated

Latest: United States warns allies of five-year weapon delivery delays

The Iran–Israel war that began in February 2026 has rapidly drained U.S. air-defense and long-range missile stocks. By late August, reports indicated the U.S. had exhausted nearly all ATACMS and Precision Strike Missiles

[ACTIVE] [INTERNATIONAL] [IR] [US] [CN]

United States-Iran conflict

3 clusters · 38 sources · last updated

Latest: Pentagon reports Iran war costs have reached $45.1 billion

The United States is engaged in an ongoing conflict with Iran. As of mid-September 2026, the Pentagon has reported that military operations against Iran have reached an estimated cost of $45.1 billion. This total, provid

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [US] [ES]

US Social Security: 2027 COLA and Solvency Projections

83 clusters · 164 sources · last updated

Latest: Social Security COLA announcement scheduled for October 2026

The Social Security Administration is transitioning to full electronic benefit delivery by the end of 2026. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund faces imminent insolvency, with the 2026 Trustees Report p

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [GB] [JP]

US debt surpasses $40T milestone; fiscal and political rift

63 clusters · 337 sources · last updated

Latest: United States debt concerns rise as interest costs surge

By late August 2026, the U.S. national debt officially surpassed $40 trillion, a milestone following a period where total public debt more than doubled from early 2017 levels. The Congressional Budget Office projects a $

[ACTIVE] [INTERNATIONAL] [US] [CA] [AF]

25th anniversary of September 11 commemorations

37 clusters · 1448 sources · last updated

Latest: New York commemorates 25 years since September 11 attacks

The 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks was marked by solemn commemorations at Ground Zero, the Pentagon, and Shanksville, Pennsylvania. At the 9/11 Memorial in New York, thousands gathered for the annual readin

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [CN] [DE]

AI-driven market highs persist amid systemic risk warnings

263 clusters · 846 sources · last updated

Latest: RTL Deutschland to cut 500 jobs following Sky Deutschland merger

The AI-driven market rally has reached new historic milestones, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieving record highs. While investors monitor resistance at the 7,800 level, strong corporate earnings continue to provide a f

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [IR] [US] [IL]

US economic and maritime pressure on Iran intensifies

104 clusters · 2248 sources · last updated

Latest: United States intensifies economic campaign against Iran

The U.S. has transitioned from military campaigns toward an economic ‘stranglehold’ designed to isolate Tehran. Through the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), the U.S. launched ‘Operation Econ

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [US]

US inflation, Trump tariffs, and economic sentiment

7 clusters · 29 sources · last updated

Latest: Donald Trump defends economic record amid rising fuel prices

By early September 2026, President Trump expressed significant frustration with the U.S. economy despite a positive jobs report showing 162,000 jobs gained in August. Speaking from the Oval Office, he criticized the Fede

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [US]

US healthcare funding and Medicaid reductions

3 clusters · 6 sources · last updated

Latest: US health care costs and rural funding face significant shifts

The United States is facing a healthcare crisis driven by significant federal funding reductions. Democratic leaders and health advocates have criticized the Trump administration and Republican-led Congress for nearly $1

[QUIET] [BUSINESS] [US]

United States federal budget deficit expansion

10 clusters · 105 sources · last updated

Latest: United States national debt reaches record US$40 trillion

The United States federal budget deficit reached record levels in July 2026, with the monthly shortfall reported at $432 billion. This represents a 48% increase compared to July 2025 and is the highest monthly deficit si

[QUIET] [TECHNOLOGY] [US] [IR] [JP]

US Golden Dome missile defense program development

5 clusters · 25 sources · last updated

Latest: United States advances Golden Dome missile defense shield

The United States is advancing the Golden Dome space-based missile defense program, an initiative announced by President Donald Trump in May 2025. Overseen by the U.S. Space Force’s Space Systems Command, the program is

[QUIET] [BUSINESS] [US] [CA] [MX]

US Treasury liquidity, debt levels, and investment trends

6 clusters · 713 sources · last updated

Latest: U.S. federal debt exceeds $40 trillion as Treasury pursues growth strategy

Investment strategies for US Treasuries have recently focused on the tension between long-term inflation expectations and short-term liquidity needs. Portfolio managers are increasingly diverging in their approaches; som

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [US]

US SNAP penalties and work requirements drive enrollment

17 clusters · 62 sources · last updated

Latest: SNAP funding cuts threaten US school meal programs

The USDA’s FY 2025 SNAP error rate of 10.62%—amounting to roughly $10 billion in improper payments—has triggered cost-sharing provisions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Starting October 1, 2027, states with error r

[QUIET] [INTERNATIONAL] [US] [CN]

US Trump-class battleship program development

2 clusters · 2 sources · last updated

Latest: Trump-class battleship project analyzed by Chinese observers

The United States has proposed a nuclear-powered guided missile battleship program, designated the Trump-class, with an estimated cost of $275 billion. The plan involves constructing 15 ships between 2028 and 2056, with

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [AR]

Argentina Congressional Budget Office oversight controversy

2 clusters · 5 sources · last updated

Latest: Congressional Budget Office Director Gabriel Esterelles resigns

In Argentina, tensions have risen regarding the transparency and autonomy of the Congressional Budget Office (OPC) ahead of the 2027 budget discussions. Deputy Maximiliano Ferraro of the Coalición Cívica initially denou

[QUIET] [BUSINESS] [US]

Grayscale analysis of Bitcoin market drivers

4 clusters · 5 sources · last updated

Latest: Grayscale CEO predicts end of crypto winter due to institutional interest

Grayscale research has analyzed both short-term market drivers and long-term structural forces affecting Bitcoin. Initially, analysis focused on macroeconomic factors, suggesting Bitcoin may have reached a price floor if

Also covered in