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Congressional Budget Office

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Situations

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [US] [CN] [BR]

US 2026 midterms: Democratic control of Congress

91 clusters · 2380 sources · last updated

Latest: Republicans face significant losses in midterm elections

The 2026 midterm elections resulted in a significant political shift, with Democrats securing control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. This outcome, described by analysts as a “blue tsunami” or “blue

[ACTIVE] [INTERNATIONAL] [US] [IR] [IQ]

US-Iran war: Economic costs and energy price surges

25 clusters · 453 sources · last updated

Latest: German gas prices rise due to US-Iran conflict

The conflict between the U.S.-Israel coalition and Iran has evolved into a prolonged engagement with significant military and economic consequences. While President Trump previously described the war as a “little excursi

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [US] [IR] [RU]

US inflation, midterm losses, and shifting foreign policy

30 clusters · 172 sources · last updated

Latest: Donald Trump faces political uncertainty following midterm election losses

By early November 2026, President Trump faces intensified political pressure following major shifts in both domestic and foreign policy. Following the midterm elections, the Republican Party lost control of both the Hous

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [GB] [JP]

US debt surpasses $40.5T; public debt exceeds 100% of GDP

78 clusters · 413 sources · last updated

Latest: United States federal debt reaches $40.55 trillion

By late October 2026, the U.S. national debt reached a new record high of approximately $40.528 trillion, having grown by more than $500 billion since crossing the $40 trillion milestone in mid-August. This rapid increas

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [FR] [GB]

Global debt risks intensify amid rising interest costs

23 clusters · 148 sources · last updated

Latest: Global debt and rising interest rates pose financial market risks

Global debt has reached a historic peak of US$365 trillion, representing approximately 310 percent of global GDP. This total includes a US$10 trillion increase during the first half of 2026, driven largely by emerging ma

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [US] [ES]

US Social Security: 2027 COLA and Solvency Projections

107 clusters · 236 sources · last updated

Latest: Social Security Administration announces 3.6% cost-of-living adjustment for 2027

The Social Security Administration is transitioning to full electronic benefit delivery by the end of 2026. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund faces imminent insolvency, with projections suggesting ful

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [CN] [DE]

AI-driven market highs persist amid concentration and risk

277 clusters · 858 sources · last updated

Latest: Corporate earnings show robust growth in US and Eurozone

The AI-driven market rally has reached historic milestones, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieving record highs. While strong corporate earnings provide a fundamental buffer, the market faces intensifying structural risks

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [AR] [CL]

Argentine legislative activity and pension audits

12 clusters · 245 sources · last updated

Latest: Argentina Senate advances Disability Law project

In September 2026, the Argentine government, through the La Libertad Avanza party, began negotiating with allied legislative blocs to present a permanent disability law. This proposal aims to replace the current emergenc

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [CA]

US Social Security trust fund depletion projections

2 clusters · 6 sources · last updated

Latest: Social Security retirement trust fund projected to deplete by 2032

The Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund is projected to deplete its reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032. If reserves are exhausted, payroll taxes would only cover approximately 78% of sch

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [MX] [US] [CA]

TMEC Renewal, Tariff Disputes, and Trade Strategy Updates

87 clusters · 473 sources · last updated

Latest: North American trade uncertainty grows amid political pressures

Since late May 2026, Mexico has been navigating a stalled TMEC renewal. The United States declined an automatic 16-year extension, opting for annual reviews that keep the pact in force only until 2036. US Trade Represent

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [AU] [GB]

U.S. Navy SSN(X) submarine program development

2 clusters · 2 sources · last updated

Latest: U.S. Navy develops SSN(X) submarines and hypersonic missile integration

The U.S. Navy is advancing the SSN(X) program, a next-generation nuclear-powered attack submarine designed to succeed the Virginia-class fleet. The program aims to integrate the speed and payload capabilities of the Seaw

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [DE] [JP]

Global bond yield surges and market volatility

21 clusters · 183 sources · last updated

Latest: Investors consider shifting capital from stocks to bonds

Global bond markets have entered a period of intense volatility, with yields in major economies reaching multi-decade highs. In the United States, 10-year Treasury yields have fluctuated near or above 5.3%, driven by per

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [CN] [DE]

US federal deficit and debt surpass $2 trillion and $40T

16 clusters · 136 sources · last updated

Latest: US federal debt reaches $40 trillion amid fiscal concerns

The United States federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $2 trillion, a 12% increase from the $1.78 trillion deficit in 2025. This marks the third-largest annual deficit in U.S. history. While

[ACTIVE] [POLITICS] [US]

US federal Medicaid work requirement implementation

15 clusters · 36 sources · last updated

Latest: US Federal Judge rules on Medicaid work requirement exemptions

New federal Medicaid work and reporting requirements, stemming from legislation signed in July 2025, are scheduled to take effect on January 1, 2027. The rules mandate that most eligible adults aged 19 to 64 demonstrate

[ACTIVE] [BUSINESS] [US] [GB] [JP]

US mortgage rates and Treasury yields hit 24-year highs

23 clusters · 136 sources · last updated

Latest: Central banks maintain rates amid rising global inflation risks

U.S. mortgage rates and Treasury yields experienced significant upward pressure through late 2026. In early September, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.85% amid persistent inflation and a federal debt exceeding $4

[QUIET] [BUSINESS] [US] [DE] [JP]

Global bond yields surge amid debt risks and inflation

40 clusters · 213 sources · last updated

Latest: Bond markets face pressure from rising inflation and interest rate expectations

Global bond markets are experiencing intense volatility and structural shifts, with yields reaching multi-decade highs. In the United States, the 10-year Treasury yield has remained above 5%, driven by persistent inflati

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [IR] [US] [IL]

US economic and military pressure on Iran intensifies

120 clusters · 2288 sources · last updated

Latest: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claims economic isolation of Iran is successful

The U.S. has transitioned from military campaigns toward an economic ‘stranglehold’ designed to isolate Tehran. Through the Treasury Department’s ‘Operation Economic Outcast,’ the U.S. aims to ‘collapse networks that sus

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [US]

US SNAP enrollment declines amid new work requirements

26 clusters · 91 sources · last updated

Latest: US SNAP participation hits lowest level since 2009

The USDA’s FY 2025 SNAP error rate of 10.62%—amounting to roughly $10 billion in improper payments—has triggered cost-sharing provisions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1). Starting October 1, 2027, states wit

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [US]

US healthcare funding and Medicaid reductions

5 clusters · 11 sources · last updated

Latest: US lawmakers propose measures to protect rural hospital funding

The United States is facing a healthcare crisis driven by significant federal funding reductions. Democratic leaders and health advocates have criticized the Trump administration and Republican-led Congress for nearly $1

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [US]

US economic pressure and inflation concerns

3 clusters · 6 sources · last updated

Latest: Inflation emerges as top concern for 46% of registered voters

Economic data and public sentiment indicate rising financial pressure on American households. An Accredited Debt Relief study found that 78% of respondents identify inflation as the primary driver of increased debt, noti

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [US]

US Medicaid eligibility changes for immigrants

5 clusters · 26 sources · last updated

Latest: USCIS green card backlogs threaten health coverage for refugees

New federal restrictions on Medicaid eligibility, stemming from the ‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act’ (also known as H.R. 1), took effect on October 1. The legislation, signed by President Donald Trump to reduce spending by m

[QUIET] [POLITICS] [US]

US healthcare payments and midterm election politics

2 clusters · 13 sources · last updated

Latest: Medicare policy and payments become focal points in US midterm campaigns

The Trump administration has initiated the distribution of healthcare-related payments to millions of Americans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. These disbursements include $500 checks to nearly one million Affordabl

[QUIET] [INTERNATIONAL] [US] [CA] [AF]

25th anniversary of September 11 commemorations

42 clusters · 1456 sources · last updated

Latest: September 11 marks 25th anniversary of terrorist attacks

The 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks was marked by solemn commemorations at Ground Zero, the Pentagon, and Shanksville, Pennsylvania. At the 9/11 Memorial in New York, thousands gathered for the annual readin

[QUIET] [BUSINESS] [US] [CA] [MX]

US Treasury liquidity, debt levels, and investment trends

8 clusters · 718 sources · last updated

Latest: U.S. Treasury conducts $153 billion in debt sales amid yield scrutiny

Investment strategies for US Treasuries have recently focused on the tension between long-term inflation expectations and short-term liquidity needs. To address liquidity concerns and market volatility, Treasury Secretar

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