This situation has concluded
It was preserved as a record on October 27; the timeline below shows how it unfolded, with sources. Get the briefing to follow the top situations still developing: three emails a week, sourced and in order.
Unsubscribe anytime.
[SITUATION] · [QUIET] · [TECHNOLOGY]
11 clusters · 68 sources · 84 days · First seen · Last updated
Bitcoin quantum security concerns and resistant testing
Overview
Analysts estimate that 6.5–6.9 million BTC – about one-third of all coins – remain in legacy address types whose public keys are exposed on-chain, making them theoretically vulnerable to a future quantum computer. A surge in micro-transactions driven by runes, ordinals and BRC-20 tokens has pushed daily Bitcoin transaction volume above 800,000, inflating the mempool and raising fee pressure. In late July, analyst Nic Carter warned that the United States could leverage quantum computing to compromise Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve signatures, urging rapid adoption of post-quantum cryptography. At the same time, MicroStrategy announced a $1.25 billion Digital Credit Capital Framework, authorising the sale of up to that amount of Bitcoin to repair its balance sheet; the first 32-BTC sale raised roughly $2.5 million. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong responded by launching a Bitcoin Security Consortium, which released a roadmap featuring a quantum-resistant key-management system (PQ-CoreKMS) aligned with NIST-standardised algorithms. Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson cautioned that Bitcoin’s informal, multi-party governance could be too slow to implement such an upgrade, contrasting it with Cardano’s on-chain voting that recently enabled the v11 hard-fork and will support the upcoming Leios speed upgrade. On 6 August, former SEC official John Reed Stark called for regulator contingency plans as quantum-computing advances accelerate, citing IBM’s estimate that practical impacts could appear within three to four years. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee and Casa’s Jameson Lopp warned that a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could derive a Bitcoin private key in minutes, with a greater than 50% chance of emergence within a decade. To address these vulnerabilities, developers are proposing technical standards like BIP-360 and BIP-361 to implement quantum-resistant address schemes and migration frameworks for the roughly 6.9 million BTC at risk. On 31 August 2026, StarkWare researcher Avihu Levy successfully executed the first quantum-resistant transaction on the Bitcoin mainnet.
Entities
Bitcoin · StarkWare · Avihu Levy · IBM · MARA Foundation
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
Coverage disagrees
Sources make claims that cannot both be true. CLSTR reports the disagreement; it does not decide who is right.
-
"Generating a quantum-safe transaction incurs high computational costs, estimated between $75 and $200."
vs
"The quantum-safe Bitcoin transaction method currently incurs high costs, estimated between $75 and $150 per transaction."
The estimated cost ranges for the quantum-safe transaction are different ($75-$200 vs $75-$150).
- [DISPUTED] Generating a quantum-safe transaction incurs high computational costs, estimated between $75 and $200.
- [DISPUTED] The quantum-safe Bitcoin transaction method currently incurs high costs, estimated between $75 and $150 per transaction.
- [● 15 SOURCES] StarkWare successfully executed the first quantum-safe Bitcoin transaction on the mainnet without requiring a protocol fork.
- [● 12 SOURCES] The quantum-safe transaction required direct submission to a miner via MARA’s Slipstream service because standard nodes did not relay the script format.
- [● 6 SOURCES] The quantum-safe transaction was confirmed in Bitcoin block 964,199.
- [● 6 SOURCES] The method used to protect the transaction is called signature grinding.
- [● 5 SOURCES] Blockstream published a Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP) for the SHRINCS post-quantum signature scheme.
- [● 3 SOURCES] The U.S. Department of the Treasury launched the Quantum-Readiness Task Force to prepare the financial sector for quantum computing threats.
- [● 2 SOURCES] The task force operates through three workstreams: Sector Alignment & PQC Transition, Third-Party & Vendor Readiness, and Digital Assets and Emerging Technology Risk.
- [● 2 SOURCES] Post-quantum signature schemes are significantly larger, between 38 and 123 times the size of current Bitcoin ECDSA and Schnorr signatures.
- [● 2 SOURCES] The U.S. government has set deadlines for federal systems to transition to post-quantum key sharing by 2030 and digital signatures by 2031.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Avihu Levy of StarkWare executed the first Bitcoin transaction designed to resist attacks from a sufficiently powerful quantum computer.
Timeline
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 3 sourcesStarkWare competition reduces quantum-safe Bitcoin transaction costs by 80%
A competition led by StarkWare has reduced the GPU computing costs for quantum-safe Bitcoin transactions by 80%, dropping from $320 to $67 through code and AI-driven optimizations.
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 4 sourcesBitcoin achieves milestone with quantum-resistant transaction
A quantum-resistant transaction has been recorded on the Bitcoin blockchain, demonstrating a method to protect digital assets from future quantum computing threats without changing consensus rules.
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 5 sourcesStarkWare executes first quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction
StarkWare has performed the first quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction on the mainnet without requiring any changes to the network's consensus rules or protocol.
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 11 sourcesStarkWare executes first quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction
StarkWare and MARA Foundation successfully completed the first quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction on the mainnet using a new ‘signature grinding’ method that requires no protocol changes.
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 31 sourcesStarkWare executes first quantum-safe Bitcoin transaction on mainnet
StarkWare executed the first quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction on the mainnet using signature grinding, bypassing the need for a protocol fork while highlighting high computational costs and relaying limits
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 2 sourcesQuantum computing faces scientific scrutiny and Bitcoin security debates
Quantum computing faces a dual landscape of scientific skepticism regarding supremacy and growing institutional investment, while Bitcoin developers prepare defenses to protect millions of BTC from future risks
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 12 sourcesPost-quantum cryptography transition accelerates across tech and finance
Industries are accelerating the shift to post-quantum cryptography to defend against future quantum computing threats, focusing on crypto-agility and new hardware architectures to secure digital assets and IoT.
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 2 sourcesQuantum Computing Threat Raises Alarm for Bitcoin and Crypto Markets
SEC veteran John Reed Stark and Fundstrat’s Tom Lee warn that quantum computing could soon jeopardize Bitcoin and other crypto assets, prompting calls for regulatory and industry safeguards.
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 4 sourcesCardano Founder Charles Hoskinson Warns Bitcoin Governance May Fail Against Quantum Threat
Charles Hoskinson warned that Bitcoin’s governance could falter against quantum‑computing threats, highlighting Cardano’s on‑chain voting and recent upgrades while urging stronger security measures across the c
-
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS Bitcoin Landscape Challenged by Quantum Threats and Corporate Liquidity Moves
Nic Carter warns the US could use quantum tech to seize Bitcoin, urging post‑quantum upgrades, while MicroStrategy launches a framework to sell $1.25 bn of Bitcoin to address a $14 bn loss, boosting its stock.
-
[TECHNOLOGY] 2 sourcesBitcoin vulnerable to quantum attacks as microtransactions surge
Coinbase flags up to 6.9 million Bitcoin as quantum‑vulnerable, while CryptoQuant reports 80% of 2026 transactions are sub‑0.01 BTC micro‑transfers driven by data‑protocol use.
Sources
abmedia.io · ad-hoc-news.de · altcoininvestor.com · ambcrypto.com · bitcoinethereumnews.com · bitcoinmagazine.com · bitcoinsistemi.com · blog.bitnovo.com · blogtienao.com · coin-turk.com · coindeskjapan.com · coindoo.com · coinpedia.org · cointelegraph.com · cointrust.com · criptofacil.com · criptotendencias.com · crypto-insiders.nl · crypto.news · cryptoast.fr · cryptobreaking.com · cryptobriefing.com · cryptonewsz.com · cryptonomist.ch · cryptopolitan.com · cryptoslate.com · cryptoweek.fr · cybersecuritydive.com · decrypt.co · digital-magazin.de · eetasia.com · electronicsb2b.com · en.bitcoinsistemi.com · en.coin-turk.com · eurweb.com · extra.com.co · finanzen.ch · finex.cz · haiti24.net · it-boltwise.de · itsitio.com · koinbulteni.com · lacronicadebadajoz.elperiodicoextremadura.com · laopinioncoruna.es · lebardegandi.net · merca2.es · mycryptoparadise.com · news.trijo.co
This summary has been updated 12 times: see revision history