< Back to situations

Get alerts on this situation

We’ll email you as it develops, and you can follow the whole thread from day one.

Unsubscribe anytime.

[SITUATION] · [ACTIVE]

2 clusters · 9 sources · 3 days · First seen 5 days ago · Last updated 2 days ago

Categories: BUSINESS

Mexico-US avocado trade dynamics

Entities: Mexico · Mission Produce · Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo · Calavo · California

Overview

In late July 2026, record avocado harvests in Mexico and a strong California crop pushed U.S. avocado supply to historic levels. The surge narrowed price spreads, normalised wholesale prices and lifted premiums for organic and non‑GMO varieties. Industry analysts noted consolidation among major Mexican exporters and a stable outlook for avocado‑oil feedstock.

Two days later, official data confirmed a 35 % rise in Mexican avocado shipments to the United States in the first four months of 2026, but the higher volume coincided with a sharp drop in export earnings and wholesale prices, which fell to about $1 per pound. Mexico’s share of the U.S. market slipped from roughly 95 % to 70 %, as Peru, Colombia and Chile gained ground. The contrast highlights that while supply growth has stabilised prices, it has also eroded revenue and market dominance for Mexican producers.

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.

[○ 1 SOURCE] Mexican avocado exports to the United States increased by 35% in the first four months of 2026 compared with the same period in 2025. (050f9d4c-b16d-4efc-a132-6424b4952972)
[○ 1 SOURCE] In March 2026, Mexican avocado export volume was 148,511 tonnes, a 57% increase over March 2025. (050f9d4c-b16d-4efc-a132-6424b4952972)
[○ 1 SOURCE] Export value of Mexican avocados fell 22% in the first quarter of 2026 and about 29% in April 2026 due to lower prices and peso appreciation. (e22688d0-2613-4bda-8199-90a7a70f0888)
[○ 1 SOURCE] The wholesale price of Hass avocado for export to the United States dropped to $1 per pound in April 2026. (e22688d0-2613-4bda-8199-90a7a70f0888)
[○ 1 SOURCE] Mexico's share of the U.S. avocado market fell from 95% to 70% in May 2026. (e22688d0-2613-4bda-8199-90a7a70f0888)
[○ 1 SOURCE] Peru, Colombia and Chile increased their presence in the U.S. avocado market, challenging Mexico's dominance. (e22688d0-2613-4bda-8199-90a7a70f0888)
[○ 1 SOURCE] In 2025, Mexican avocado exports to the United States generated $3.653 billion, representing 8.1% of Mexico's agri‑food exports to that market. (050f9d4c-b16d-4efc-a132-6424b4952972)

Timeline

2 days ago

[BUSINESS] 6 sources
Mexico's avocado exports to the US rise 35% in early 2026
Mexico's avocado shipments to the US grew 35% in early 2026, but export earnings fell 22% as prices dropped and market share slipped to 70% amid rising competition.
5 days ago

[BUSINESS] 2 sources
Mexico and California Avocado Production Surge Stabilizes Prices
Record Mexican and Californian avocado supplies have stabilised U.S. prices, boosted organic premiums, and eased avocado‑oil feedstock pressure, prompting market consolidation.

Sources

acustiknoticias.com · agnetwest.com · asisucede.com.mx · briefingwire.com · gaceta.mx · laverdadnoticias.com · norrlandsvagnar.se · regeneracion.mx · witblad.nl