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6 clusters · 37 sources · 29 days · First seen 29 days ago · Last updated about 15 hours ago

El Niño impact on Indonesia climate and agriculture

Overview

The El Niño phenomenon has strengthened in Indonesia, leading to forecasts of a delayed rainy season and a more intense dry season. Experts from the Institut Teknologi Bandung warned that the delay, potentially pushing the rainy season to early or mid-January 2027, could impact agricultural productivity. By late August, the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) confirmed that El Niño has reached a strong level, with a peak expected between August and September 2026 that may last until early 2027. This peak is projected to result in a drier dry season across approximately 25.41 percent of Indonesia’s land area. As of September 7, 2026, drought conditions in Central Java have expanded to affect 30 of 35 regencies, prompting the Regional Disaster Management Agency (BPBD) to distribute over 36 million liters of clean water to more than 1.1 million people. Environmental risks remain high; 14 hotspots were recently detected in Bulungan, North Kalimantan, while police in Riau are using drones to combat fires. To assist in Kalimantan, the Japanese government has deployed three CH-47 Chinook helicopters and 180 personnel. By early September 2026, BMKG reported highly variable weather patterns. While much of the country remains in a dry season, atmospheric dynamics like the Madden-Julian Oscillation, Kelvin waves, and cyclonic circulation are triggering localized rainfall, thunderstorms, and strong winds in parts of Sumatra, Kalimantan, West Java, and Papua. Conversely, regions in Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, and Papua are experiencing extreme heat, with temperatures exceeding 35 degrees Celsius. In Sampang, East Java, the dry season is expected to persist until December, leading to severe water shortages in both rural and urban areas. In response to the ongoing drought, the Ministry of Public Works has addressed impacts in 1,760 of 2,200 identified locations.

Entities

Indonesia · BMKG · Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika · Jawa Barat · Celeste Saulo

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

[● 2 SOURCES] Jakarta is expected to experience mostly sunny or partly cloudy weather on August 28, 2026. disway.id · mediaindonesia.com
[● 2 SOURCES] Heavy rain is expected in Aceh and North Sumatra provinces. prokalteng.jawapos.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Six regions in Maluku are predicted to have sunny weather on August 28, 2026. ambon.tribunnews.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Kota Sorong and Kabupaten Sorong are forecast to have partly cloudy weather on August 28, 2026. sorong.tribunnews.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Kota Malang is predicted to be dominated by sunny weather on August 28, 2026. beritajatim.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Sudjatmiko urged that BMKG's early warnings should serve as a basis for government policy and transportation safety decisions. www.suarainvestor.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] The Merah Putih Bridge in Klamana, Sorong, was inaugurated to improve transportation access for approximately 2,438 residents. matapapua.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] A very strong El Nino phenomenon is predicted to last until early 2027. disway.id
[○ 1 SOURCE] The peak of the dry season in Indonesia is expected to occur between August and September 2026. disway.id
[○ 1 SOURCE] The transition to the rainy season is predicted to occur between mid-October and late November 2026. disway.id
[○ 1 SOURCE] 30 out of 35 regencies and cities in Central Java are affected by drought. jateng.jpnn.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Approximately 36.2 million liters of clean water have been distributed to drought-affected areas in Central Java. jateng.jpnn.com

Timeline

about 15 hours ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 2 sources
Indonesia implements emergency measures against El Nino drought
Indonesia is deploying emergency drought and fire mitigation measures across agricultural and energy sectors to counter a strong El Nino phenomenon expected to persist into early 2027.
3 days ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 9 sources
Indonesia weather shows variable patterns with heatwaves and localized rain
BMKG reports variable weather across Indonesia, with El Nino driving a prolonged dry season and heatwaves in some regions, while atmospheric dynamics trigger localized rain and storms in others.
5 days ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 24 sources
Indonesia faces extreme weather and El Nino risks through 2027
Indonesia faces extreme weather due to a strong El Nino lasting until 2027, causing droughts in Central Java and forest fires in Kalimantan, which Japan is helping to combat with helicopter support.
8 days ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 4 sources
El Nino threatens global weather stability and Indonesian inflation
El Nino is projected to intensify through 2027, potentially becoming the strongest on record, while Bank Mandiri warns it could drive Indonesian inflation to 3.5 percent by late 2026.
15 days ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 9 sources
Indonesia weather: BMKG warns of strong El Nino and reports varied regional conditions
BMKG reports varied weather across Indonesia, including sunny conditions in Jakarta and Maluku, while warning of a very strong El Nino peak in September/October. Infrastructure improvements continue in Sorong.
29 days ago

[INTERNATIONAL] 4 sources
El Nino strengthens, delaying Indonesia's rainy season
Strengthening El Nino is predicted to delay Indonesia's rainy season until January 2027, threatening agricultural productivity and reducing rainfall levels in regions like West Java.

Sources

ambon.tribunnews.com · antaranews.com · beritajatim.com · bisnis.liputan6.com · cenderawasihpos.jawapos.com · cnbcindonesia.com · disway.id · dulohupa.id · ekbis.harianjogja.com · en.antaranews.com · hargo.co.id · harianjogja.com · industry.co.id · jatim.jpnn.com · jawapos.com · jpnn.com · jurnas.com · kabartarakan.com · katadata.co.id · langgam.id · m.jpnn.com · malay.news · matapapua.com · medcom.id · mediaindonesia.com · okezone.com · portalmedia.id · prokalteng.jawapos.com · radargarut.id · republika.co.id · riau1.com · riaupos.co · rri.co.id · sorong.tribunnews.com · suarainvestor.com · vilavalega.blogs.sapo.pt · viva.co.id

This summary has been updated 9 times: see revision history