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Hungarian political party support and election trends
Overview
Hungarian political trends continue to show shifts in support among major parties. Recent polling from the Republikon Institute indicates minor fluctuations within the margin of error: Tisza Party support among the total population fell by 2 percentage points, while the Fidesz-KDNP coalition saw a 1 percentage point decline. Despite these shifts, Tisza maintains a significant lead among party voters at 66 percent compared to Fidesz’s 23 percent. New data from Europion suggests a trend of normalization for the Tisza Party, noting that its support among the total adult population dropped to 47 percent in September, down from 49 percent in August. This represents a 5 percentage point decrease from its peak in May and June. While Tisza's support has weakened, data indicates that neither Fidesz nor Mi Hazánk has significantly capitalized on this shift. The proportion of undecided or non-partisan voters has risen, reaching 18 percent in Europion’s findings. More recent Medián polling indicates a shift in electoral support, with the Tisza Party seeing a 3 percentage point decrease in its voter base compared to July, while Fidesz-KDNP gained an equivalent amount. Despite this, Tisza maintains a lead in hypothetical election scenarios with 54 percent against Fidesz’s 22 percent. Public perception regarding governance has intensified. A recent Medián poll indicates that 53 percent of respondents now describe the Orbán system as a ‘mafia state’, a notable increase from 34 percent in 2023. Approximately 75 percent of the voting-age population believes financial abuses were characteristic of the government, with 60 percent describing them as ‘very large’. Additionally, 85 percent of respondents do not rule out the possibility that successful entrepreneurs rising during the National Cooperation System (NER) era are proxies for Viktor Orbán. These critical views are more prevalent among respondents under 30 and those with higher education.
Entities
Tisza Party · Mi Hazánk Mozgalom · Fidesz-KDNP · Medián · Europion
Timeline
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[POLITICS] 9 sourcesHungary politics: Polling disputes and legal scrutiny of Matolcsy
Hungarian politics faces scrutiny over conflicting polls regarding the Tisza Party's support and legal investigations into former central bank governor György Matolcsy regarding alleged pressure on Erste Bank.
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[POLITICS] 3 sourcesHungarian voters increasingly label Orbán system a ‘mafia state’
A Medián poll shows 53 percent of Hungarian voters now describe Viktor Orbán’s system as a ‘mafia state’, up from 34 percent in 2023, amid widespread concerns over systemic corruption.
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[POLITICS] 10 sourcesHungarian polls show declining support for Tisza and Fidesz
Recent Hungarian polls show a slight decline in support for both the Tisza Party and the Fidesz–KDNP, as Tisza's popularity appears to stabilize following previous record highs.
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[POLITICS] 3 sourcesHungarian political polling shows slight shifts for Tisza and Fidesz
New polling shows slight declines for Hungary's Tisza and Fidesz-KDNP parties, while Mi Hazánk shows modest growth amid rising voter uncertainty.
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[POLITICS] 17 sourcesTisza Party names media regulatory candidates and wins interim elections
The Tisza Party has named candidates for Hungary's media regulatory boards and reported sweeping victories for its supported candidates in recent interim municipal elections.
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[POLITICS] 2 sourcesTisza Szigetek-supported candidates win in Hungarian by-elections
By-elections in Makó, Mátészalka, Mezőtúr, and Mohács resulted in victories for Tisza Szigetek-supported candidates in several districts, following local representatives' moves to the national parliament.
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[POLITICS] 4 sourcesHungarian political polling shows Tisza decline and Mi Hazánk growth
August Europion polling shows a decline in Tisza Party support below 50 percent of the population, while Fidesz-KDNP stabilizes and Mi Hazánk reaches double-digit support levels in Hungary.
Sources
10perc.hu · 24.hu · 444.hu · blikk.hu · blogol.hu · cie.pt · economx.hu · eszakhirnok.com · g7.hu · hajdupress.hu · hang.hu · hellomagyar.hu · hirklikk.hu · hungarianconservative.com · hvg.hu · index.hu · kecskemeti-hirhatar.hu · klubradio.hu · liner.hu · ma.hu · mandiner.hu · maszol.ro · media1.hu · mediapiac.com · mfor.hu · mozi.24.hu · nepszava.hu · privatbankar.hu · promotions.hu · sharjaradio.ae · szabadmagyarszo.com · toysforlife.co.nz · tudas.hu
This summary has been updated 9 times: see revision history