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[SITUATION] · [ACTIVE] · [POLITICS]
10 clusters · 42 sources · 71 days · First seen · Last updated
Turkish political polling and municipal leadership shifts
Overview
Recent polling data in Turkey indicates fluctuating support for major political parties. In mid-August 2026, AK Parti Istanbul Provincial Chairman Abdullah Özdemir reported the AK Parti held 44.5% of the vote in Istanbul, leading the CHP at approximately 40%. By late August, the Yeni Parti led in Beyoğlu with 36.2%, while a national Optimar Araştırma poll placed the AK Parti at 33.4% and the Yeni Parti at 18.2%.
Throughout September 2026, various polls maintained the AK Parti as the leading party, though support levels varied. ORC Araştırma reported the AK Parti at 35.2% and Yeni Parti at 19.4%, while ASAL Research found the AK Parti at 33.8% and Yeni Parti at 23.6%. GENAR reported AK Parti support at 36.1%. Regional shifts were noted by Murat Kızılboğa, showing AK Parti declines in Trabzon, Şanlıurfa, and Erzurum, alongside growth for the Yeniden Refah Partisi (YRP) and DEM Parti.
Municipal leadership shifts have caused significant political friction. Following Mansur Yavaş’s resignation from the CHP, a dispute emerged over the number of mayors moving to other parties. CHP sources claim only 113 of 416 municipalities won in 2024 remain with the CHP, while Yeni Parti sources assert 252 mayors have joined them. Public sentiment regarding Yavaş’s decision to remain independent is reported as positive by 56.7% of respondents in some surveys. Additionally, an ANK-AR Research study indicated a potential presidential matchup where Yavaş leads Erdoğan with 43.7% to 36.6%.
Entities
AK Parti · Yeni Parti · Mansur Yavaş · CHP · AK Party
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
Coverage disagrees
Sources make claims that cannot both be true. CLSTR reports the disagreement; it does not decide who is right.
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"Muğla Metropolitan Mayor Ahmet Aras resigned from the CHP to continue his duties as an independent."
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"Journalist Mustafa Yavuz claimed that 8 district mayors in Ankara and Muğla Metropolitan Mayor Ahmet Aras might join the AK Party."
One claim suggests Ahmet Aras might join the AK Party, while the other states he has already resigned from the CHP to serve as an independent.
- [DISPUTED] Journalist Mustafa Yavuz claimed that 8 district mayors in Ankara and Muğla Metropolitan Mayor Ahmet Aras might join the AK Party.
- [DISPUTED] Muğla Metropolitan Mayor Ahmet Aras resigned from the CHP to continue his duties as an independent.
- [● 9 SOURCES] Ankara Metropolitan Municipality Mayor Mansur Yavaş stated that mayors who change political parties will be held accountable by voters at the ballot box.
- [● 8 SOURCES] Mansur Yavaş attended the opening of the Cumhuriyet Swimming Pool and Sports Complex.
- [● 4 SOURCES] Mansur Yavaş declared that he is currently serving as an independent and provides equal service to the people of Ankara.
- [● 3 SOURCES] CHP Spokesperson Müslim Sarı announced that the party will field a candidate in the Üsküdar Deputy Mayor election scheduled for October 20.
- [● 2 SOURCES] Ahmet Aras's resignation from the CHP was reportedly influenced by internal party tensions and disciplinary decisions.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The Cumhuriyet Swimming Pool and Sports Complex project cost 400 million lira.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Hacı Kılıçoğlu and Muzaffer Cengiz Özaydın resigned from their positions as AK Party district chairs in Diyarbakır.
Timeline
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[POLITICS] 3 sourcesTurkish political polls show varying results for parties and presidential candidates
New Turkish polls show the AKP leading in party preference surveys, while a presidential matchup poll places Mansur Yavaş ahead of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.
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[POLITICS] 29 sourcesMansur Yavaş responds to reports of mayors switching political parties
Ankara Mayor Mansur Yavaş addressed the trend of mayors switching parties, stating they must answer to voters, amid reports of potential shifts to the AK Party.
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[POLITICS] 8 sourcesTurkish political polls show high undecided voter rates and shifting party standings
Recent Turkish polls show AK Parti leading, but with a record 23.5% of voters undecided. Mansur Yavaş's resignation from CHP and widespread dissatisfaction with economic policies are key drivers.
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[POLITICS] 3 sourcesTurkish political polls show shifts in Şanlıurfa and Erzurum
New polling data from Murat Kızılboğa shows declining support for the AK Party and MHP in Şanlıurfa and Erzurum, while the Yeniden Refah Party and DEM Party report gains.
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[POLITICS] 2 sourcesTurkish political parties face shifts in polling and municipal leadership
Turkish political landscape sees AK Parti leading in recent polls, while disputes arise over the number of CHP mayors migrating to the newly formed Yeni Parti.
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[POLITICS] 2 sourcesASAL Research poll shows AK Party leading in September 2026 election survey
An ASAL Research poll for September 2026 shows the AK Party leading with 33.8% of the vote, followed by the YENI Party at 23.6%.
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[POLITICS] 6 sourcesAK Parti leads in latest Turkish election poll
An ORC Araştırma poll conducted in September 2026 shows AK Parti leading with 35.2%, followed by Yeni Parti at 19.4%, while CHP, DEM Parti, and MHP are in a close race.
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[POLITICS] 2 sourcesTurkish election polls show shifts in Afyonkarahisar and Trabzon
Polling data for Afyonkarahisar and Trabzon shows the AK Parti facing declining support, while the YENİ Parti has emerged as a major political force in both regions.
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[POLITICS] 3 sourcesTurkish political polls show shifting voter support
Recent Turkish election polls show the AK Parti leading in a multi-province Optimar survey, while the Yeni Parti holds the top position in a specific Beyoğlu district poll.
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[POLITICS] 4 sourcesAK Parti Istanbul Chairman reports new polling data
AK Parti Istanbul Chairman Abdullah Özdemir reported recent polls showing the party at 44.5% and CHP at 40% in Istanbul, noting significant gains in districts like Beykoz.
Sources
artigercek.com · avrupagazete.co.uk · aydinlik.com.tr · aydinpost.com · bolgegundem.com · bursahakimiyet.com.tr · cukurovagazetesi.com · cumhuriyet.com.tr · demagog.cz · egemengazetesi.com · eurodressage.com · f5haber.com · gazetedamga.com.tr · gazeteipekyol.com · gazetepencere.com · haber1.com · haber3.com · haber7.com · halktv.com.tr · indyturk.com · izgazete.net · kocatepegazetesi.com · korkusuz.com.tr · medyaege.com.tr · medyafaresi.com · odatv.com · odatv4.com · ortadogugazetesi.com · ozdiyarbakirgazetesi.com · pressturk.com · sallinggroup.com · sanayigazetesi.com.tr · sehrivangazetesi.com · sivasirade.com · sondakika.com · takagazete.com.tr · tr724.com · ufukturu.net · urfastar.com · yenicaggazetesi.com.tr · yenisafak.com · yorumla.net
This summary has been updated 13 times: see revision history