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[SITUATION] · [ACTIVE]
17 clusters · 26 sources · 96 days · First seen · Last updated
Categories: BUSINESS
US livestock futures market dynamics
Entities: United States Department of Agriculture · Mexico · Chicago Mercantile Exchange · Mexican feeder cattle · Douglas, Arizona port
Overview
May‑June 2024 saw live‑cattle and feeder‑cattle futures swing on profit‑taking, drought‑driven herd cuts and a brief lift of the Mexican cattle import ban, while lean‑hog prices tracked pork demand. Early July 2026 hot weather and a pre‑Independence Day slowdown pushed live‑cattle futures down about $2.60 per pound and feeder cattle similarly, as USDA export‑sales spiked and packer margins fell near $295 per head. By mid‑July cash cattle prices in the Plains fell $7 per cwt, packer margins deepened, and technical selling was amplified by rising corn prices, western drought‑driven herd contraction and continued Mexican import restrictions. Late July feeder cattle rebounded on profit‑taking and firm pork prices; lean‑hog futures rose on stronger pork. Early August the USDA lifted the Mexican ban again, prompting modest gains in live and feeder cattle futures and a recovery in lean‑hog futures. The United States began a phased reopening of its border to Mexican live cattle on 4 August, starting with Sonora quarantine stations; the closure had cost Mexico over $2 billion in lost export revenue and depressed domestic prices. USDA health reviews cleared additional states, and the first shipments proceeded, though the cattle borer remained active in 1,826 cases, with only a few states certified pest‑free. Preparations include electronic ID chips and detection dogs.
In early August Mexico confirmed Sonora’s pest‑free status and readied the first shipments, using electronic ID chips and detection dogs. The USDA’s ban lift lifted CME live‑cattle futures 2.2 cents to $2.34/lb and feeder cattle 2.1 cents, as traders priced tighter supply. Meanwhile U.S. feedlot inventories rose about 250,000 head and June cattle harvest fell, adding bearish pressure despite the slated resumption of Mexican feeder cattle imports from late August.
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.
- [● 3 SOURCES] Mexico will restart live cattle exports to the United States in August, beginning with Sonora. (USDA phased reopening plan)
- [● 3 SOURCES] The U.S. Department of Agriculture will evaluate each Mexican state for sanitary risk before authorising cattle exports. (USDA policy)
- [● 2 SOURCES] Tamaulipas reported 71 active cases of gusano barrenador and Chihuahua 63 cases. (State officials)
- [● 2 SOURCES] Producers expect cattle prices to recover once exports resume. (Alfredo Rodela, Chihuahua livestock association president)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The closure of the cattle export corridor cost Mexico over $2 billion in lost export revenue. (CNA president Jorge Esteve Recolons)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Export preparations include the use of electronic identification chips and detection dogs at the Sonora crossing. (Juan Ochoa, Sonora livestock union leader)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Regional groups warn that unidentifiable cattle entering Aguascalientes threaten traceability and sanitary control. (Juan Pablo Franco Díaz, Union Ganadera Regional de Aguascalientes president)
Timeline
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about 18 hours ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS cattle market sees bearish pressure as feedlot inventories riseUS cattle market turns bearish as harvest drops, feedlot inventories rise, prices climb and Mexican feeder cattle imports resume in late August.
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3 days ago
[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesCME cattle futures climb as USDA lifts Mexican cattle import banCME cattle futures rose on tight supply after USDA lifted the Mexican cattle import ban; live and feeder cattle gained, while hog futures slipped amid stable beef demand.
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4 days ago
[BUSINESS] 9 sourcesMexico prepares to resume cattle exports to United StatesMexico will gradually reopen live‑cattle exports to the U.S. starting in August, beginning with Sonora, after USDA sanitary reviews; the closure cost over $2 bn and producers expect price recovery.
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6 days ago
[BUSINESS] 6 sourcesUSDA lifts Mexican cattle ban, spurring futures rise and Cargill labor dealUSDA lifted its ban on Mexican cattle imports, easing supply and boosting cattle futures, while Cargill secured a tentative labor agreement in Fort Morgan, Colorado, ending a lockout.
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9 days ago
[BUSINESS] 6 sourcesUS cattle futures rebound after USDA lifts Mexican cattle import banUSDA lifted its ban on Mexican cattle imports, triggering a sell‑off in cattle futures that rebounded on Wednesday as CME prices rose, while hog futures slipped on weak pork demand.
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17 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesUS cattle futures rebound as feeder prices rise after June lowsFeeder cattle futures rose 2.60 cents to 343.775 cents/lb after June lows, while live cattle slipped and grain prices rose modestly; strong pork prices and USDA report anticipation drove market moves.
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19 days ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesCME cattle and hog futures show mixed trends as USDA reports loomCME live cattle futures fell for a 15th straight session, while lean‑hog futures rose to a two‑month high, as USDA reports and summer heat shift demand in U.S. meat markets.
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23 days ago
[BUSINESS] 6 sourcesCME cattle futures fall as weak cash prices and technical selling pressure marketCME live and feeder cattle futures fell to March lows amid weak cash prices, technical selling and rising corn costs, while hog futures posted mixed moves.
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27 days ago
[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesCME livestock futures dip as cash cattle prices fall $7 per hundredweightCME live cattle futures fell as cash cattle prices dropped $7 per hundredweight to about $248; pork cutout rose to $101.34 per cwt and hog futures were mixed.
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about 1 month ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS cattle and hog futures fall ahead of July 4 holidayUS live cattle futures slipped about $2.5 per lb while lean hog futures rose modestly, as hot weather and packer losses pressure beef markets ahead of the July 4 holiday.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 6 sourcesUS cattle futures rise as tight supply fuels price gainsUS cattle futures rose on the CME as USDA data showed tighter feedlot supply and a pest outbreak, while beef prices climbed and pork prices fell.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS cattle futures decline as profit‑taking and feedlot data weighUS cattle futures fell as traders took profits and USDA data showed modest feedlot growth and a sharp drop in May placements, while hog futures rose amid falling pork prices.
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about 2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS cattle and hog futures climb as supply cues and USDA screwworm response lift marketsUS cattle futures rose on tight supplies, while hog futures gained on higher pork carcass prices; beef fell after a JBS plant closure and USDA reported screwworm cases.
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2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. cattle futures dip amid consumer spending worriesU.S. live and feeder cattle futures fell Friday amid worries that high gas prices and weak consumer sentiment will curb beef demand; USDA reported lower beef cut prices and packers’ losses narrowed, while hog‑f
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2 months ago
[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS cattle futures rise after USDA reports higher-than‑expected feedlot placementsUSDA data showed April feedlot placements up 5.5%, beating forecasts and buoying live and feeder cattle futures, while easing beef‑demand worries and modestly lifting pork cutout prices.
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3 months ago
[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesUS cattle futures climb on tight supply and rising feedlot placementsUS cattle futures rise on tight supply and feedlot growth; hog futures hit lowest since Dec.
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3 months ago
[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. cattle and hog futures slide on profit‑taking, tighter packer marginsCattle and hog futures fell after profit‑taking as packer margins tightened and demand outlook stayed mixed.
Sources
brownfieldagnews.com · bygumbygolly.com · canal44.com · cronicadelpoder.com · diario.mx · dis-blog.thalesgroup.com · elefanteblanco.mx · es.webmd.com · feedlotmagazine.com · heraldo.mx · inspiyr.com · mecardo.com.au · mexico-now.com · midwestfarmreport.com · muropolitico.mx · northqueenslandregister.com.au · q106.com · queenslandcountrylife.com.au · thebeefsite.com · thecattlesite.com · theland.com.au · thelibertydaily.com · thepigsite.com · toledoblade.com · tribuna.com.mx · tsln.com
This summary has been updated 6 times: see revision history