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North American housing market 2026 – October Update
Overview
The North American housing market is experiencing a significant shift in leverage toward buyers as rising mortgage rates continue to suppress demand. By mid-October, volatility intensified as 30-year fixed mortgage rates climbed toward 7.4%, a sharp increase from approximately 6.8% in early September.
This high-rate environment has led to a marked slowdown in transactions. Pending home sales in September fell 7.3% from the previous month and 11.3% year-over-year, marking the lowest level since records began in 2001. In California, existing single-family home sales fell 6.5% year-over-year in September, with Southern California seeing the largest annual decline at 9.1%.
Inventory dynamics show a growing divergence between sectors. While existing home inventory remains constrained by a ‘lock-in effect’—where homeowners with sub-4% rates are reluctant to sell—the new home sector is seeing more movement. New home sales rose 6.4% in August to an eight-month high, driven by builders using price cuts and incentives to attract buyers. New home inventory remains elevated, with an 8.5-month supply reported in August.
Affordability remains a critical issue. The share of single-family listings priced under $400,000 has dropped significantly since 2020. As competition eases in some regions, buyers are increasingly utilizing lowball offers and negotiating seller credits to fund interest rate buydowns to manage long-term monthly costs.
Recent data highlights a ‘K-shaped’ divide, where high-income earners drive transactions while lower-income buyers face extreme barriers. In the U.S., a significant seller surplus emerged in September, particularly in the Sun Belt. Meanwhile, Canada saw a 2.3% decline in home sales due to inflation and rising fixed mortgage rates. Financial strain is also surfacing in the credit market; national mortgage delinquency rates rose to 3.66% in September, and active foreclosure inventory climbed to its highest level since early 2019.
Entities
United States · Redfin · Freddie Mac · National Association of Realtors · Federal Reserve
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 3 SOURCES] The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached 7.4% this week.
- [● 3 SOURCES] The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.27% during the same period last year.
- [● 3 SOURCES] High-income consumers are the primary group driving housing market transactions.
- [● 2 SOURCES] New US single-family home sales fell 10.5% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 607,000 units.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Home prices in America's 20 largest cities rose 0.24% month-over-month in June.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Chicago led major metros with a 6.9% annual price increase in June.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The median new house price in July was $393,800, which is 0.9% lower than a year earlier.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] New single-family home inventory in July rose to 488,000 units, an increase of 1.9% from June.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Existing-home sales fell 2.4% month-over-month in June 2026.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Data shows a growing divergence in homebuying intentions between different income groups.
Timeline
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS Housing Market Faces Shifting Trends and Price Fluctuations
The US housing market is experiencing a shift due to high interest rates and prices, with some regions seeing continued growth while industry experts predict a potential decline in real estate professionals by
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesMortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates rise in US
US mortgage delinquency rates rose to 3.66% in September, while active foreclosure inventory reached its highest level since early 2019 amid rising numbers for recent loan originations.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUnited States pending home sales hit 25-year low
U.S. pending home sales hit a 25-year low in September due to high mortgage rates, though low-interest-rate lock-in effects and reduced new construction are preventing a broader collapse in home prices.
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[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesCalifornia home sales fall 6.5% amid rising mortgage rates
California existing home sales fell 6.5% year-over-year in September due to high mortgage rates and affordability issues, with Southern California and Riverside County seeing notable declines.
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[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesUS housing market faces K-shaped divide as mortgage rates rise
Rising 30-year fixed mortgage rates, now averaging 7.4%, are creating a K-shaped housing market divide in the US, favoring high-income buyers over those with tighter budgets.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesNew-home mortgage applications fall as sales hit lowest pace since 2020
New-home mortgage applications fell 8.3% year-over-year in September 2026, while seasonally adjusted sales hit their lowest annualized pace since April 2020 due to rising mortgage rates.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS and Canadian housing markets face shifts in buyer demand
US and Canadian housing markets saw shifts in September, with US sellers outnumbering buyers by record margins and Canadian sales declining due to rising mortgage rates and economic uncertainty.
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[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesFederal Reserve policy and rising mortgage rates impact U.S. housing
Rising mortgage rates and Federal Reserve policy are weakening U.S. housing demand, causing regional disparities in sales and construction activity despite price stability in some areas.
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[BUSINESS] 27 sourcesUS housing market faces pressure from rising mortgage rates and high prices
US existing home sales rose 1.5% in September to 3.99 million units, but rising mortgage rates near 7.4% have pushed pending sales to a 12-year low and continue to squeeze affordability.
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[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesHousing market shifts as high mortgage rates impact investors and consumers
High mortgage rates are reshaping the housing sector, driving Berkshire Hathaway to make multi-billion dollar bets on homebuilders while consumers shift spending from major remodels to essential maintenance.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. single-family housing starts rise in August
U.S. single-family housing starts rose 7.6% in August, though overall housing starts and multifamily construction declined amid high interest rates and economic uncertainty.
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[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesU.S. housing market sees rising price cuts and inventory
U.S. home sellers are increasing price cuts as inventory rises and mortgage rates hover around 7 percent, providing buyers with more negotiating leverage despite persistent affordability challenges.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesHousing market expected to transition to sustainable growth
Jefferies analysts predict the housing market will shift toward sustainable growth as construction catches up to demand and rising mortgage rates moderate the pandemic-era boom.
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[BUSINESS] 15 sourcesU.S. new home sales rise to eight-month high amid rising mortgage rates
U.S. new home sales rose 6.4% in August to an eight-month high, even as mortgage rates climbed above 7%, creating significant affordability challenges for buyers.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesHousing market shifts leverage toward buyers amid high mortgage rates
Buyers are gaining leverage in a high-interest housing market by using seller concessions for rate buydowns and making lowball offers as inventory sits longer on the market.
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[BUSINESS] 11 sourcesUS housing market shifts toward buyers amid rising inventory
The US housing market is shifting toward buyers as inventory grows and seller dominance fades, though high mortgage rates near 7% continue to suppress buyer demand and activity.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesU.S. single-family housing starts rebound amid inventory growth
U.S. single-family housing starts rose in August, but high mortgage rates and rising costs have led to a 9.6-month supply of new homes, significantly outpacing the existing home market.
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[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesU.S. housing market sees sharp decline in homes under $400,000
The share of U.S. home listings priced under $400,000 has dropped from 72.6% in 2020 to 28% in 2026, with severe inventory shortages reported in California compared to the Midwest.
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[BUSINESS] 14 sourcesUS existing home sales fall to slowest pace in over a year
U.S. existing home sales fell 2% in August to a 14-month low, even as housing inventory hit a decade-high and median prices reached a record $429,100 due to high mortgage rates.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS housing market shows split between cooling trends and competitive turnkey sales
While US housing inventory is growing and many buyers are gaining leverage, turnkey homes in desirable locations continue to sell above asking price, with 25.9 percent of recent sales exceeding list prices.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesU.S. housing market demand slows as mortgage rates rise
Rising mortgage rates have slowed U.S. housing demand, causing pending home sales to decline and breaking an eight-month growth streak despite an increase in new home listings and inventory.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesU.S. housing market inventory rises as pending sales hit six-month low
Rising U.S. housing inventory and falling pending sales are providing buyers more leverage to negotiate seller concessions and mortgage-rate buydowns to combat high costs.
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[BUSINESS] 8 sourcesUS housing market shows rising prices amid falling home sales
US home prices in major cities saw their fastest annual acceleration in a year in June, even as new single-family home sales tumbled 10.5% in July due to high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. pending home sales decline as contract cancellations rise
U.S. pending home sales declined in July amid high mortgage rates, while home-sale contract cancellations reached a nearly three-year high as buyers gain more leverage in the market.
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[BUSINESS] 11 sourcesUS housing starts and pending sales decline in July
US housing starts fell 12.4% in July to 1.24 million units, driven by high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, though building permits saw a 5% increase.
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[BUSINESS] 8 sourcesUS home builder sentiment rises slightly in August amid persistent economic weakness
US home builder sentiment rose slightly to 35 in August, but remains weak due to high mortgage rates, economic uncertainty, and rising construction costs driven by energy price increases.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS homebuyer demand hits record low amid rising mortgage rates
US homebuyer demand hit a record low in July as rising mortgage rates shifted market power to buyers, creating buyer's markets in 39 of 49 major metropolitan areas.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesZillow reports US home sales jump 7% in July as pending listings stall
Zillow reports U.S. home sales up 7% in July but pending listings barely rose, while higher mortgage rates threaten affordability; entry‑level sales fall and luxury sales rise in a K‑shaped market.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS mortgage rates climb, pending home sales fall
US pending home sales fell to a low of 322,739 as mortgage rates rose to 6.66%‑6.83%, with the Fed holding rates steady and analysts warning rates will stay high amid economic pressures.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS mortgage rates climb to 6.58% in July, reaching 11‑month high
US 30‑year mortgage rates hit 6.58% in July, the highest in 11 months, with 15‑year rates at 5.96%; experts warn borrowers to compare offers amid rising housing‑affordability challenges.
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[BUSINESS] 15 sourcesU.S. mortgage rates near yearly high, new‑home sales modestly rise in June
U.S. 30‑year mortgage rates climbed to about 6.6%, the highest in 11 months, while June new‑home sales rose 1.6% to 628 k units but stay down 5.6% year‑over‑year, keeping affordability tight.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS June Housing Starts Rise on Multifamily Growth
U.S. housing starts rose 19% in June, driven by a 76% jump in multifamily units, while single‑family starts fell 0.2% amid higher mortgage rates and construction costs.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS housing market sees rising foreclosures and modest starter‑home affordability gains
US foreclosures rose 21% to a 2019 high in early 2026, while starter‑home prices and affordability modestly improved amid higher mortgage rates.
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[POLITICS] 2 sourcesCalifornia Housing Costs Spur Policy Push and Public Outcry
California tackles steep housing costs as Gov. Newsom proposes a new funding committee, while renters report paying $3,400 a month outside Los Angeles, sparking mixed public reactions.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesCalifornia home prices surge to record levels amid rising homeowner concerns
U.S. home values hit $372k median in June 2026; California cities top Zillow’s index with homes over $2.8 million, while new homeowners are advised to budget, insure and plan for rising costs.
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[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesCanada housing construction slows as builders pull back amid weak demand
CMHC data shows Canadian housing starts fell 2.8% in June, with a 6% monthly slowdown and a 13% drop in larger centres, indicating continued construction weakness.
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[BUSINESS] 9 sourcesNorth American housing markets show mixed trends in June 2026
U.S. pending home sales slipped 5.4% in June as mortgage rates rose, while Canada saw a modest 0.5% rise in sales and steady prices but cut its 2026 sales forecast and reported a 13% drop in new housing starts.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesMaui and Maine see June housing market gains in sales and prices
June home sales rose in Maui (single‑family up 16%, condos up 52%) and Maine’s median price hit a historic $436,000, up 2.6% year‑over‑year.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS Home Prices Reach Record Highs as Luxury Buyers Drive Market
US median home prices hit record highs in June, driven by luxury buyers in coastal markets, with median values around $410‑$440k and affordability concerns rising.
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[BUSINESS] 15 sourcesUS home prices reach all-time high while sales slip in June
US median home price hit a record $440,600 in June, up 1.8% YoY, while existing‑home sales fell 2.4% to a 4.09 million annual rate amid high mortgage rates and tight inventory.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesMaine home sales surge 7% in June, median price hits record $436,000
Maine home sales rose ~7% in June, median price set a record $436,000, inventory hit a six‑year high, and top residential sales reached $7 million.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS Home Prices Accelerate in May Amid Regional Split
US home prices accelerated in May to a median $424,950, up 0.8% YoY, with a regional split: Midwest gains, coastal markets cooling, and San Francisco rebounding near 9%.
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[BUSINESS] 15 sourcesHome prices slip worldwide as rates rise and affordability tightens
Home prices fell in New Zealand, Australia and the United States as higher mortgage rates and affordability pressures curb demand, with regional markets holding up while major cities see the biggest drops.
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[BUSINESS] 9 sourcesU.S. Housing Market Slows as Sales Drop and Mortgage Rates Rise
U.S. home sales fell in May, mortgage rates rose above 6%, and price growth slowed, while inventory improves and vacation‑home purchases plunge.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesCanada's New Housing Price Index Falls 0.3% in May, Extending Market Weakness
Canada's New Housing Price Index fell 0.3% in May, its third straight drop; housing starts fell 6% and permits slipped, while resale sales rose 5.5% month‑over‑month.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesU.S. Housing Market Shows Diverging Trends in May 2026
U.S. housing data for May 2026 show single‑family sales rising in Hawaii while nationwide foreclosure filings increased 14% YoY, with Florida leading in rates and Texas topping starts.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS mortgage market sees purchase dominance as refinance applications slump in May 2026
May 2026 US mortgage data shows purchase loans dominate (81 % of locks) while refinance activity falls; rates rise to 6.44 %, ARMs gain share, and applications dip 5.5 % MoM.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesMontreal real estate sales fall 7% in May 2026 as inventory rises
Montreal CMA saw 7% fewer residential sales in May 2026, with 4,623 transactions and a 14% rise in listings. Prices rose modestly while condo inventory jumped 19%, and higher unemployment pressured demand.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesCanada sees Toronto home sales surge as prices dip, manufacturing PMI shows modest growth
Toronto home sales jumped 10% in May as prices slipped, while Canada’s manufacturing PMI fell to 52.9 but stayed in expansion territory.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS new home sales drop 6% in April as mortgage rates rise
US new home sales fell 6.2% to 622,000 units in April, a four‑year low, as 30‑year mortgage rates rose above 6.5% and inventory rose to 489,000 units.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS home-price growth slows as buyer‑seller standoff persists
U.S. home-price growth slowed to 0.66% annualized in March as buyers balk at prices and sellers refuse discounts, creating a market standoff; Chicago leads with the biggest gains.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesMidwest drives US spring 2026 housing rebound as contract signings rise 4.5%
Midwest leads US spring 2026 housing rebound with 4.5% rise in contract signings and strong listing growth.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesTwin Cities home listings rise while prices slip in April 2026
Twin Cities listings rise 9% YoY, but median prices drop 2% in April 2026 amid high rates and low inventory.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS home prices inch up 0.5% in Q1 2026 as pending sales rise
US home prices rose 0.5% in Q1 2026 with gains in most metros, while pending sales rose 1.4% despite high mortgage rates.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS homebuyers gain leverage as market eases and assumable mortgages revive
US homebuyers see more inventory, lower competition and are using assumable mortgages to lock in lower rates.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesCanada's housing market shows modest spring rebound amid tempered buyer enthusiasm
Canada's spring housing market sees slight sales dip, modest price gains and cautious buyer sentiment as immigration cuts curb demand.
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[BUSINESS] 4 sourcesUS pending home sales jump 9.6% YoY, highest since 2022
US pending home sales surge 9.6% YoY, the strongest since 2022, amid falling rates and tight supply.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS foreclosure filings rise 12% year‑over‑year in April 2026
US foreclosure filings rose 12% YoY in April 2026, with Delaware posting the worst rate.
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[BUSINESS] 3 sourcesCanadian Home Sales Rise Slightly in April 2026
Canadian MLS home sales grew 0.7% in April 2026, marking a modest month‑over‑month rise.
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[BUSINESS] 5 sourcesNorth American real estate market 2026 sees rebalancing and growth prospects
Ontario neighbourhoods and US housing markets both show 2026 growth, price dips and shifting buyer behavior.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesUS local housing markets post strong spring sales in Naples and Alexandria
Naples, FL saw March sales jump 26.7%; Alexandria, VA posted 33% YoY sales rise in April, boosting U.S. regional housing activity.
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[BUSINESS] 2 sourcesDel Mar housing market swings to sellers in spring, buyers in winter as mortgage rates climb
Del Mar's spring housing boom favors sellers; winter shifts to buyers, while rising mortgage rates breed caution.
Sources
abc17news.com · actionforex.com · adslynk.com · aisj.org · albertleatribune.com · alternet.org · amconmag.com · americanbazaaronline.com · amnesty.org.nz · archute.com · archynewsy.com · aroha.ch · arynews.tv · backyardgardenlover.com · baltimorechronicle.com · bangordailynews.com · bankerandtradesman.com · bankingjournal.aba.com · bendigoadvertiser.com.au · biotechlife.com · bitcoinethereumnews.com · blog.royallepage.ca · bostonagentmagazine.com · bundesverband.de · business · business.financialpost.com · businessreport.com · c21affiliated.com · cashcow.nl · cbc.bb · cbs58.com · centralmaine.com · chwpro.com · citybeat.com · conservativedailynews.com · criptotendencia.com · crypto-times.jp · cryptobriefing.com · dailydot.com · dailyguardian.ca · dance-tunes.com · deseret.com · deseretnews.com · diebewertung.de · digitaldefense.com · digitaljournal.com · directoriocubano.info · dirt.com
This summary has been updated 23 times: see revision history