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4 clusters · 43 sources · 27 days · First seen · Last updated

Polish inflation trends and economic forecasts

Overview

In July 2026, the National Bank of Poland reported that core inflation rose to 3.1% year-on-year, up from 3% in June. This increase was attributed to the expiration of the ‘Lower Fuel Price’ package and rising costs in sectors such as transport, recreation, sport, and culture. By late August, the Polish Ministry of Finance released a 2027 state budget draft containing long-term inflation projections, estimating average annual inflation rates of 2.5% in 2028, 2.6% in 2029, and 2.5% in 2030.

On August 31, 2026, Statistics Poland (GUS) reported that inflation rose to 3.4% year-on-year in August, exceeding analyst forecasts. This uptick was primarily driven by a 24.2% year-on-year surge in fuel prices. On September 9, 2026, the Monetary Policy Council (RPP) decided to maintain the reference interest rate at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive time. NBP President Adam Glapiński indicated that rates are expected to remain stable through the end of the year and into mid-2027.

Concurrently, the Polish mortgage market is seeing a structural shift as PKO Bank Polski has introduced mortgage loans based on the new POLSTR index, which is intended to replace WIBOR by 2027. Additionally, analysts from Pekao have warned that household energy prices in Poland could increase by 19% by 2027, driven by rising gas costs.

Entities

Główny Urząd Statystyczny · Narodowy Bank Polski · Monetary Policy Council · National Bank of Poland · Rada Polityki Pieniężnej

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

Coverage disagrees

Sources make claims that cannot both be true. CLSTR reports the disagreement; it does not decide who is right.

Timeline

  1. 2 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 26 sources
    Central banks adjust interest rates amid inflation and energy concerns

    The ECB has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.50%, while Poland's RPP maintains rates at 3.75% amid rising inflation. PKO Bank Polski has also introduced the new POLSTR index for mortgages.

  2. 12 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 23 sources
    Poland and Croatia report rising inflation rates in August 2026

    Inflation in Poland rose to 3.4% in August 2026, driven by high fuel and energy costs, while Croatia reported a 4.1% annual inflation rate, largely due to rising energy prices.

  3. 14 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Poland forecasts stable inflation through 2030 in new budget draft

    The Polish government forecasts annual inflation will stabilize between 2.5% and 2.6% from 2028 to 2030, according to the 2027 budget draft justification.

  4. 29 days ago

    [BUSINESS] 2 sources
    Poland core inflation rises to 3.1% in July

    Poland's core inflation rose to 3.1% in July from 3% in June, according to NBP data. Headline CPI reached 3%, driven by increases in transport, fuel, and recreation costs.

Sources

300gospodarka.pl · biznes.interia.pl · biznisinfo.mk · borba.me · bydlet.cz · ceskenoviny.cz · comparic.pl · cryps.pl · dorzeczy.pl · dziennik.pl · ekonomickydenik.cz · fakt.pl · finanznachrichten.de · fxstreet.cz · gazetaprawna.pl · glas-slavonije.hr · gu.com.pl · hn.cz · index.hr · investujeme.cz · komercja24.pl · kurzy.cz · lewiatan.org · moje-gniezno.pl · morningstar.be · novaekonomija.rs · ogportal.com · parkiet.com · patria.cz · polityka.co.pl · portalspozywczy.pl · propertynews.pl · razydzisiaj.pl · rtnk.me · strefainwestorow.pl · superbiz.se.pl · teklic.hr · telegram.hr · trybuna.info · vijesti.hrt.hr · warszawawpigulce.pl · wnp.pl · zachod.pl

This summary has been updated 5 times: see revision history