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One Nation party rise and shifting Australian political tide

Overview

The One Nation party, led by Pauline Hanson, continues to experience a significant surge in political influence, threatening Australia’s traditional two-party system. Recent quarterly Newspoll data indicates the party has reached a 30% national primary vote, placing it ahead of the Labor Party (29%) and the Coalition (19%). This momentum is particularly evident outside of Queensland. In New South Wales, One Nation recorded 31% of the primary vote, narrowly surpassing Labor’s 30%. In South Australia, the party holds 31%, while in Western Australia it trails Labor by only one percentage point. In its stronghold of Queensland, One Nation holds 36% of the vote, while Labor has fallen to 25%. This shift is reflected in leadership preferences, where Hanson is the preferred prime minister over Anthony Albanese in Queensland (52% to 48%), while Albanese’s net approval in the state has fallen to minus-38. In September 2026, One Nation unveiled a radical migration policy proposing to slash 750,000 temporary visas over three years to achieve net-negative migration. While the Business Council of Australia warned of economic harm, Hanson defended the policy as the ‘will of the people.’ On October 2, the party launched its Victorian state election campaign with a focus on crime and bail reform. At a launch in Melbourne, the party promised to increase police presence and implement harsher sentencing. The event was met with protests from the ‘Unite Against Racism’ coalition, with further rallies scheduled for later in the month. Major political players are now reacting to this populist surge. Treasurer Jim Chalmers has urged the Labor Party to counter One Nation through substantive economic reforms in housing, tax, and negative gearing to avoid becoming the ‘party of the status quo.’ Chalmers also warned that One Nation’s migration, superannuation, and wage policies could damage the economy and retirement savings.

Entities

One Nation · Pauline Hanson · Labor Party · Anthony Albanese · Liberal Party of Australia

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

Coverage disagrees

Sources make claims that cannot both be true. CLSTR reports the disagreement; it does not decide who is right.

  • "Gina Rinehart paid for Pauline Hanson’s return flights from London to Sicily between 11 July and 16 July."

    vs

    "Pauline Hanson personally covered accommodation, meals and daily expenses for the European trip."

    One claim asserts Gina Rinehart paid for Hanson's flights, while the other asserts Hanson personally covered all expenses for the trip.

Timeline

  1. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    One Nation support rises in Hunter region amid gas exploration debate

    Polling in the Hunter region shows One Nation leading Labor at a federal level in surveyed electorates, amid ongoing debate over Advent Energy’s PEP11 offshore gas exploration proposal.

  2. [POLITICS] 9 sources
    One Nation faces pressure to submit policies for independent costing in NSW

    NSW Labor is pushing to force One Nation to submit its election policies to independent budget costing, while One Nation leaders challenge the government on coal policy and net zero costs.

  3. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australian political parties respond to rising One Nation popularity

    Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers has urged Labor to pursue economic reforms to counter the rising popularity of One Nation, which is campaigning on significant migration cuts and populist policies.

  4. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    One Nation launches Victorian election campaign with crime focus

    One Nation launched its Victorian election campaign in Melbourne, prioritizing crime and bail reforms amid protests from anti-racism activists.

  5. [POLITICS] 5 sources
    One Nation surges in Newspoll, overtaking Labor in key states

    Newspoll data shows One Nation's primary vote rising to 30 per cent nationally, overtaking Labor in Queensland and New South Wales and placing significant pressure on Australia's major political parties.

  6. [POLITICS] 5 sources
    Pauline Hanson criticizes migrant worker reliance in Wagga

    One Nation leader Pauline Hanson criticized Australia's reliance on migrant workers during a visit to a Wagga manufacturer, proposing new apprenticeship incentives for local youth.

  7. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    One Nation search interest rises in Victoria

    Google Trends data shows rising search interest for One Nation in Victoria ahead of the November state election, amid declining interest in the Liberal Party.

  8. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    One Nation proposes slashing 750,000 temporary visas in Australia

    One Nation has proposed cutting 750,000 temporary visas over three years to achieve net-negative migration, sparking warnings from officials about potential economic damage to Australia's education and service'

  9. [POLITICS] 28 sources
    One Nation proposes slashing 750,000 temporary visas

    One Nation has proposed a plan to cut 750,000 temporary visas over three years, aiming for net-negative migration. The policy faces backlash from business leaders and regional sectors over economic risks.

  10. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    One Nation's rise in Victoria challenges major political parties

    The growth of One Nation in Victoria is challenging major political parties and forcing a shift in how they engage with the electorate ahead of upcoming elections.

  11. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    Pauline Hanson defends One Nation leader Warren Pickering

    Pauline Hanson has defended One Nation's Victorian leader Warren Pickering against allegations of past heavy drug use, calling the matter a personal situation.

  12. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Australian politics faces shifting polls and culture war debates

    Australian politics faces rising polarization as Labor and the Coalition tie in polls, while One Nation maintains significant support. Debates over migration, national identity, and education intensify.

  13. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    Pauline Hanson and One Nation surge in Australian polls

    Pauline Hanson's One Nation party is surging in Australian polls, reaching 30% support and challenging the traditional Labor-Coalition dominance ahead of the 2028 federal elections.

  14. [POLITICS] 17 sources
    One Nation rises in Australia following key by-election win

    One Nation's rising popularity in Australia, following a key by-election win, has triggered a sharp conflict with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese over the party's impact on national democracy.

  15. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Anthony Albanese faces leadership and electoral challenges in Australia

    Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese faces scrutiny over his pragmatic leadership style and declining popularity as the Labor Party contends with a surge in One Nation support following recent electionary

  16. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Australian polling shows One Nation vote rise amid leadership contest

    Australian polling shows One Nation’s primary vote rising to 26 per cent, while Anthony Albanese maintains a lead as preferred prime minister over Pauline Hanson.

  17. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    Pauline Hanson faces scrutiny over Henty farm show opening and migration policy

    One Nation leader Pauline Hanson faces criticism over her selection to open the Henty Machinery Field Days and scrutiny regarding conflicting comments on her party's migration policy.

  18. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    Pauline Hanson challenges Racial Discrimination Act in High Court

    Pauline Hanson is challenging the constitutionality of Australia's Racial Discrimination Act in the High Court following a ruling that her comments toward Senator Mehreen Faruqi were discriminatory.

  19. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    One Nation targets Canning seat amid political tensions

    One Nation is expanding its reach across Australia, targeting the seat of Canning and opposing new federal-state gun buyback policies.

  20. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Liberal Party faces instability amid One Nation rise and political pressure

    The Australian Liberal Party faces instability under Angus Taylor as it navigates the rise of One Nation and attempts to maintain political pressure on Prime Minister Anthony Albanese.

  21. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Pauline Hanson claims Labor government plans one million new migrants

    One Nation leader Pauline Hanson claims the Labor government plans to bring in one million migrants, a charge the government disputes by citing permanent migration targets of 185,000.

  22. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    One Nation's Victoria leadership shift highlights migration debate

    The rise of Warren Pickering in One Nation Victoria underscores a growing political trend in Australia regarding migration and globalism, echoing rhetoric used by some members of the Liberal Party.

  23. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australia's One Nation Party Faces Immigration Policy Critique

    One Nation’s immigration cuts could shrink Australia’s total GDP by ~10% by 2036‑37, while Pauline Hanson’s ties to billionaire Gina Rinehart draw scrutiny over the party’s financial links.

  24. [POLITICS] 12 sources
    One Nation leads polls, threatens Nationals' rural seats in Australia

    One Nation polls ahead in most regional seats, could cut the Nationals to 0‑2 seats and force a hung Parliament, with strong Queensland support and leads in outer‑metro electorates.

  25. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s Europe trip funded by Gina Rinehart fuels controversy

    Pauline Hanson’s July 2024 Europe trip was funded by Gina Rinehart, who paid flights and a fashion‑show invitation, while Hanson, who says she covered other costs, also lost a Federal Court appeal over a racist

  26. [POLITICS] 24 sources
    Australian court upholds racial discrimination ruling against Pauline Hanson

    Australia’s Full Federal Court unanimously rejected Pauline Hanson’s appeal, upholding a 2024 ruling that her tweet to Mehreen Faruqi breached the Racial Discrimination Act; Hanson must delete the post and may‑

  27. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    Australia poll shows Labor far from majority as One Nation gains ground

    Australian polls project Labor far short of a majority, with One Nation near parity, while a leaked Victorian model shows One Nation could win 12 seats amid complex vote‑to‑seat dynamics.

  28. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson draws criticism for domestic‑violence remarks in Australia

    Australian Senator Pauline Hanson’s remarks calling domestic violence a “two‑way street” were denounced by Albury refuge chief Di Glover as dangerous, sparking widespread criticism.

  29. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    One Nation's rising support challenges Australian Liberals

    One Nation’s surge in polls threatens Liberal support in Australia, sparking warnings from Angus Taylor and talks of possible, though unlikely, coalition arrangements.

  30. [POLITICS] 13 sources
    Australian MP Pauline Hanson sparks controversy over domestic violence remarks and White Australia comments

    Pauline Hanson faced backlash for calling domestic violence a “two‑way street,” denied supporting the White Australia policy, and defended billionaire backer Gina Rinehart, fueling national debate.

  31. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australia's Riverina region sees Labor Party collapse as One Nation dominates

    Labor’s historic Riverina stronghold has collapsed, earning just 18 % of the vote in 2025, while One Nation won the neighboring Farrer by‑election; experts cite demographic change, union decline and coalition‑r

  32. [POLITICS] 18 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s Europe tour fuels One Nation poll surge and political backlash

    Pauline Hanson’s Europe trip, including meetings with Tommy Robinson and a CPAC appearance, sparked criticism from Prime Minister Albanese and boosted One Nation’s poll share to 30 %, tying Labor.

  33. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australian Senator Pauline Hanson meets far‑right activist Tommy Robinson

    One Nation leader Pauline Hanson met convicted far‑right activist Tommy Robinson in the UK, criticized Whitlam’s immigration reforms and overstated illegal migrant numbers, sparking controversy in Australia.

  34. [POLITICS] 7 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s Sicily holiday with billionaire Gina Rinehart triggers political backlash

    Pauline Hanson’s luxury Sicily holiday with billionaire Gina Rinehart sparked scrutiny over funding and led to joint appearances at the UK CPAC conference, where Nigel Farage praised her but criticised her far‑

  35. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australian politician Pauline Hanson visits Luton and condemns multicultural streets

    Pauline Hanson, with Tommy Robinson, visited Luton and denounced its multicultural streets, while local shopkeeper Sharik Latif defended migrants’ economic contributions.

  36. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    One Nation’s support falls as Pauline Hanson’s scandals hit poll numbers

    Australian polls show One Nation slipping to 26% after Pauline Hanson’s controversies, while Labor leads at 28% and the Coalition at 20%.

  37. [POLITICS] 7 sources
    Australia's One Nation party slips to 26% in latest poll

    Australia’s One Nation fell to 26% in July poll, losing ground among immigrants and women; Coalition rose to 23%, Labor steady at 28%, and Hanson’s preferred‑PM rating dropped to 25% as Albanese rose to 33%.

  38. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australian One Nation leader Pauline Hanson proposes sending critics to an island

    One Nation leader Pauline Hanson said Greens and independents should be sent to an island, rejected a coalition, urged Australia to quit the UN Refugee Convention and shrink the public service.

  39. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s media ban and union opposition intensify One Nation’s rise in Victoria

    Pauline Hanson’s media bans and anti‑worker stance spark union campaigns in Victoria as One Nation threatens to sway the state election.

  40. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Australian Senator Pauline Hanson visits UK, meets Holly Valance and hints at upcoming meetings

    Senator Pauline Hanson toured Blenheim Palace, dined with Jeremy Clarkson’s pub owner, and met supporter Holly Valance in the UK, teasing upcoming meetings.

  41. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australia's federal and Victorian governments plan multicultural policy changes

    One Nation vows to scrap Australia's federal multicultural office, while Victoria prepares to launch a new Multicultural Victoria statutory body with senior leadership appointments.

  42. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australian Senator Pauline Hanson meets UK populist Nigel Farage

    Australian Senator Pauline Hanson met UK populist Nigel Farage as One Nation surged, but Farage soon resigned his seat amid a $9.6 million donation scandal, prompting a costly by‑election.

  43. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australian Labor Party leads in national polls as One Nation support slips

    National polls show the Australian Labor Party ahead with 28% primary support, while One Nation slips to 22.5% in a Roy Morgan survey; a Victorian poll has One Nation at 27% versus Labor’s 26%.

  44. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson pushes ‘monoculture’ narrative as Coalition mirrors long‑standing anti‑multicultural stance

    Pauline Hanson’s “monoculture” pitch revives long‑standing anti‑multicultural rhetoric, prompting the Coalition to echo past Howard‑era policies while internal Liberal divisions stall a coherent response.

  45. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australia's One Nation Party Leads Polls Amid Rising Migration Concerns

    One Nation tops an Australian poll with 31% support as migration numbers fall but public concern rises, boosting the party’s political momentum.

  46. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    Australian Politician Pauline Hanson Faces Backlash Over Monocultural Australia Remarks

    Pauline Hanson’s call for a “monocultural” Australia prompted actor Paul Hogan to call her a “pelican” and Liberal leader Mark Parton to tell her to “go to hell”, while other Liberals defended multiculturalism.

  47. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s anti‑multicultural remarks trigger controversy and poll dip

    Pauline Hanson was called a “pelican” by actor Paul Hogan after she praised him, and her recent anti‑multicultural speech led to a drop in One Nation’s poll support as Labour gains.

  48. [POLITICS] 9 sources
    Australian Coalition hits record low in polls as One Nation slides

    Newspoll and Redbridge put Australia’s Coalition at a record‑low 17‑18% primary vote, Labor leads at 33%, One Nation falls to 29% and Pauline Hanson’s approval drops after a controversial speech.

  49. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s anti‑Islam remarks draw criticism over religious leaders’ silence

    Pauline Hanson’s anti‑Islam comments at the National Press Club have sparked criticism over the lack of response from religious leaders, highlighting concerns about rising Islamophobia and interfaith solidarity

  50. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson proposes ban on foreign ownership of Australian water rights

    Murray‑Darling Basin Authority chief Andrew McConville says Pauline Hanson’s bid to bar foreign ownership of Australian irrigation water rights and curb water trading is unrealistic, arguing the market benefits

  51. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Australian Senator Pauline Hanson renews call for public burka ban and monoculturalism

    Senator Pauline Hanson of Australia has renewed her push for a public burka ban and warned against multiculturalism, promoting a “monocultural” agenda that lacks parliamentary support.

  52. [POLITICS] 5 sources
    Pauline Hanson criticized for mining magnate advice and paid parental leave remarks

    Pauline Hanson drew criticism for taking advice from mining billionaire Gina Rinehart and for questioning paid parental leave, prompting a ministerial rebuke.

  53. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    One Nation's monocultural push sparks crisis for Australia's Liberal Party

    Pauline Hanson's call for a monocultural Australia fuels debate as Liberal leaders grapple with One Nation's rise, internal party tensions and security concerns for MP Andrew Hastie.

  54. [POLITICS] 9 sources
    Pauline Hanson defends monoculture vision, supports paid parental leave

    Pauline Hanson urged a monocultural Australia, later clarified support for government‑funded paid parental leave, sparking criticism from the Prime Minister and a minister amid rising poll numbers for One Night

  55. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    Albanese slams One Nation as party surges in Australian polls

    Albanese denounced One Nation for pretending to represent battlers and opposing wage, childcare and Medicare policies as the party climbs in polls; Pauline Hanson now leads in preference, calling for a monocult

  56. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    Pauline Hanson calls climate policy a hoax, fuels Australia’s climate debate

    Pauline Hanson of One Nation labelled climate change a hoax, attacked net‑zero policies as socialist, and claimed major waste in government climate spending, intensifying Australia’s political climate debate.

  57. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s press club speech fuels Labor’s child‑care push in Australia

    Pauline Hanson’s press club speech criticised childcare and health spending, prompting Labor to stress its own child‑care pay rise and Medicare subsidies while noting One Nation’s rising poll share ahead of the

  58. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australian Senator Pauline Hanson faces heightened security concerns after National Press Club protest

    Security threats to Senator Pauline Hanson escalated after a GetUp protest at the National Press Club, prompting demands for a permanent AFP protection detail amid rising violent threats to politicians.

  59. [POLITICS] 20 sources
    Pauline Hanson urges monocultural Australia at National Press Club

    Pauline Hanson’s National Press Club speech called for a monocultural Australia, pledged to scrap SBS, renewables and boost business power to fire staff, and was disrupted by a GetUp!-linked banner stunt.

  60. [POLITICS] 7 sources
    Pauline Hanson overtakes Albanese as preferred PM, One Nation leads Australian poll

    One Nation leads Australian poll with 29% primary vote; Pauline Hanson tops preferred‑PM poll at 33%. Her “Fire the Liar” fundraiser has raised $3‑4 million, prompting debate over coalition preference deals.

  61. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson protests cause Melbourne One Nation fundraiser cancellation

    Anti‑racist protests in Perth and Melbourne led to the cancellation of Pauline Hanson’s One Nation fundraiser in Melbourne after threats were reported.

  62. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Melbourne One Nation fundraiser canceled after anti‑racism protests

    One Nation’s Melbourne fundraiser was cancelled after anti‑racism protests were planned, with earlier clashes and police intervention at a related event.

  63. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    One Nation intensifies campaign as Pauline Hanson targets WA seats

    One Nation, led by Pauline Hanson, is boosting its campaign ahead of the Australian election, targeting WA seats and promoting strict immigration limits, while rival parties criticize its policies and funding.

  64. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Australia's One Nation Raises Over $3 Million in Anti‑Labor Fundraising Campaign

    One Nation’s “Fire the Liar” fundraiser raised over $2.7 million from 28,000 donors, sparking Labor’s dismissal and opposition claims of voter anger at the Albanese government.

  65. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Tony Abbott Courts Pauline Hanson’s One Nation Ahead of Australian Election

    Tony Abbott, Liberal Party president, is seeking preference deals with Pauline Hanson’s One Nation despite his past role in her legal downfall, prompting Labor criticism and internal Coalition tensions ahead of

  66. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    One Nation seeks forensic audit of $2 million fundraiser amid Albanese doubts

    One Nation will commission a forensic audit of its $2 million fundraiser after PM Albanese raised doubts; Liberals reject a formal alliance, and polls show One Nation now holds the largest primary vote in the A

  67. [POLITICS] 4 sources
    Australian PM Albanese and One Nation clash over fundraising legitimacy

    PM Albanese challenged One Nation’s $3 million fundraiser; Pauline Hanson released an audit confirming its legitimacy, sparking a political battle over fundraising rules and election strategy.

  68. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    One Nation events in Australia face protests as Melbourne fundraiser cancelled

    One Nation's Melbourne fundraiser was cancelled amid protest threats, while a sold‑out WA event also faced demonstrations, with Pauline Hanson claiming the protests signal rising support.

  69. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    One Nation Tops Newspoll Primary Vote; PM Albanese's Approval Hits Record Low

    Newspoll shows One Nation at 31% primary vote, ahead of Labor's 30%, while PM Albanese's net approval drops to a record low of -24.

  70. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    Australia's Nationals call for lower migration as One Nation overtakes Labor

    Newspoll shows One Nation ahead of Labor; Nationals demand lower migration, prompting PM Albanese to promise cuts, while Labor seeks ad funding to counter the surge.

  71. [POLITICS] 6 sources
    Pauline Hanson defends One Nation housing policy after interview fallout

    Pauline Hanson clarified One Nation's foreign‑ownership housing policy after Barnaby Joyce’s confusing interview, stating foreigners must sell within two years while permanent residents are exempt, ahead of her

  72. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson’s Path to Australian Prime Ministership Faces Constitutional and Historical Hurdles

    Analysts say One Nation’s Pauline Hanson could technically become Australia’s prime minister, but constitutional convention and the need for lower‑house support make it unlikely soon.

  73. [POLITICS] 3 sources
    Australian politician Pauline Hanson criticised for Senate attendance and self‑promotion

    Commentary on Pauline Hanson’s Senate appearance on 2 June criticised her avoidance of routine hearings, noted One Nation’s polling rise and debates over immigration policy.

  74. [POLITICS] 23 sources
    One Nation Tops Australian Poll, Surpassing Labor for First Time

    One Nation leads a national poll at 31 %, overtaking Labor (28 %) and the Coalition (20 %) after budget backlash; Hanson claims PM ability, Abbott vows to regain voters.

  75. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson accuses Australian PM of staff cuts threatening One Nation’s operations

    Pauline Hanson blames PM Albanese for staff cuts that strain One Nation’s limited resources.

  76. [POLITICS] 2 sources
    Pauline Hanson declines to condemn One Nation volunteer supporting cop‑killer

    Senator Pauline Hanson refused to condemn One Nation volunteer Allan Beale, who posted support for cop‑killer Dezi Freeman and neo‑Nazi Thomas Sewell.

  77. [POLITICS] 7 sources
    Pauline Hanson and aide James Ashby dispute ejection of ABC journalists

    Pauline Hanson and chief of staff James Ashby argued over ejecting ABC journalists from a One Nation event.

  78. [POLITICS] 7 sources
    Gina Rinehart funds Pauline Hanson with $2m and a private plane ahead of Australia's election

    Pauline Hanson receives a private plane and $2 million from Gina Rinehart and associates ahead of Australia's federal election.

Sources

7news.com.au · abix.com.au · aboutregional.com.au · allfloridaplumbing.com · america.aljazeera.com · americanindependent.com · amren.com · amust.com.au · arabnews.pk · archynewsy.com · areanews.com.au · barbadosgazette.com · beautyandfashiontech.com · best-selling-cars.com · bordermail.com.au · Brisbane Times · brisbanetimes.com.au · ca.sports.yahoo.com · cairnsnews.org · caldronpool.com · canberradaily.com.au · canberratimes.com.au · canberraweekly.com.au · caus.com · chosic.com · communitynews.com.au · cremation.com · crikey · crikey.com.au · dailyadvertiser.com.au · dailyliberal.com.au · dailytimes.com.pk · epochtimes.com · europesays.com · eveningreport.nz · farmonline.com.au · farmweekly.com.au · firstnationsnews.com.au · gaynation.co · gcnews.com.au · gleninnesexaminer.com.au · gloucesteradvocate.com.au · grapeshotmq.com.au · greekherald.com.au · greenleft.org.au · independentaustralia.net · inside.org.au · insidesmallbusiness.com.au

This summary has been updated 13 times: see revision history