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2026‑27 Super El Niño intensifies, worldwide risks grow

124 clusters · 719 sources · last updated

Latest: El Nino threatens Australian and South American agriculture

NOAA now estimates an 81 % chance of a very strong El Niño for Oct‑Dec 2026 and a 97 % likelihood it will remain active into early 2027. Model runs suggest the event could become the strongest in 150 years, with sea‑surf

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El Niño 2027 forecast and growing impacts

3 clusters · 23 sources · last updated

Latest: UN warns strong El Niño to intensify, raising global heat and weather risks

Forecasters continue to warn that a strong El Niño is likely to develop in the equatorial Pacific by summer 2027, with NOAA estimating a 63 % chance of a very strong event and an 81 % chance it could become a “super” or

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Southern Cone & Brazil brace for Super El Niño

155 clusters · 933 sources · last updated

Latest: Brazil's hydropower operators prepare for severe El Niño floods

The 2026‑27 Super El Niño continues to dominate climate outlooks, with NOAA still assessing a 63 % chance of sea‑surface temperatures exceeding 2 °C above the Pacific baseline and an 81 % probability of a very strong eve

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